Buying opportunity? Maybe.
Although I still can't let my guard down, considering IBD's put call ratio of 1.11, fear and greed index of 21, the large lower shadow with volume two days ago, the continued decline in bond prices and VIX, there may be a possibility of a temporary bottom. I think the NAAIM index will be updated tonight, but if it has dropped to around 30, there is a possibility that the downward movement that was supposed to occur in the summer market crash has already happened by the carry trade crash two days ago... I'm sorry if I was wrong. However, if the NAAIM index has not dropped sufficiently, for example, to 50, 60, or 70, there is a possibility that we may see the second and third bottoms due to institutions' profit taking in the summer. So I think it's better to wait rather than rushing to buy.
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J_M_RIN : I think it's a very good analysis, and so far I determine it as the final bottom of the year. I believe that the adjustment phase in autumn has already been overestimated, and as a result, it will not come, so everyone continues to fear and the Goldilocks market continues to creep up, expecting a bullish market until the end of the year.Of course, I also think that it's a market where you shouldn't rush.
pollinosis OP J_M_RIN : Thank you
I think the point of interest is whether it will rise along with turnover from here on (whether a follow-through day will come out).
I also hope that the adjustments until the beginning of fall have been factored into the speed adjustments up until now!
J_M_RIN pollinosis OP : The fact that it was a decline more than necessary from various economic data, performance, and forecasts has always been observed with a sense of incongruity, and as a result, it was determined that there is a high possibility that market sentiment was inserted too much until the previous adjustment, and I think it accelerated due to the sudden deterioration in the unemployment rate, etc., but since the analysis of economic data etc. is as I left in my comments the other day, I have determined that it is nothing but a clear overreaction