Expectations of a rate cut also stem from the fact that the US job market has started to slow down, with yesterday's ADP employment data showing a significant drop, marking one of the slowest months in the past two years. Last night, Powell stated that he would not tolerate a rapidly cooling job market. As a result, US Treasury yields have fallen across the board, with Treasury futures fully pricing in the possibility of a rate cut in September, and further anticipating another rate cut by the Fed before the end of the year.
mr_cashcow : Yes with the expectation of a rate cut certain sectors will greatly benefit from it as the cost of borrowing decreases![undefined [undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36)
Real Estate: Lower interest rates make borrowing cheaper, increasing demand for rental shops and boosting REITS
Automotive: Reduced interest rates lead to lower car loan rates, stimulating car sales which will benefit EV stocks
Consumer Goods and Retail services: As borrowing becomes cheaper, consumers may increase spending on goods and services and in turn boost service provider's stock price
Financials: While rate cuts can reduce bank profit margins, they may also increase demand for loans and stimulate financial activities which in turn boost bank share prices
I will keep an eye out for the following:
Disclaimer: All the above are purely for educational purposes and are NOT financial advise, please DYOR/DD
010Leo : yes I'll review the stocks, heavily weighted on sreits, now entering bond fund to balance. maybe add financial etf? more $Moomoo (FUTU.US)$ ?
WanEH : When the central bank cuts interest rates to a certain extent, people may feel that it is not cost-effective to keep their money in the bank, as not only will the interest income be low, but it may also not keep up with the rise in CPI. At this time, some investors will consider transferring their savings to the stock market to realize asset appreciation.
102362254 : Sure. As an investor, I keep a close eye on expected rate cuts and market trends to understand how they might affect different types of investments. This guides me in adjusting my strategy for better investment choices.
Meme_Short_Queen : calamity often ensues euphoria, the negative return AI hype has peaked, yield curve remains inverted, inflation is going back up again, oil will soar. bloodbath in near sight.