【Morning Update】The probability of a 0.5% interest rate cut has risen again. Nvidia stock is at an important milestone. Gold is at its highest value.
Good morning, Moomoo users!![]()
Here are the key points of this morning's report.![]()
● [Tokyo stock market forecast range] 6,500,000-7,100,000 yen (closing on the 12th: 6,833.27 yen)
● August PPI slightly exceeds market expectations
● "AI semiconductor three musketeers" vary
● Nvidia stocks at a critical point
● Gold price hits record high
● ADR Japanese stock ranking ~ Softbank Group and others are generally favored for buying
- Moomoo news Julie
● August PPI slightly exceeds market expectations
● "AI semiconductor three musketeers" vary
● Nvidia stocks at a critical point
● Gold price hits record high
● ADR Japanese stock ranking ~ Softbank Group and others are generally favored for buying
- Moomoo news Julie
Market Overview
The S&P 500 index has risen for 4 consecutive days. August PPI exceeded expectations and the number of new unemployment insurance claims last week increased slightly. Both had limited impact on the market. The WSJ reported that policy officials are considering a rate cut of 0.25% or 0.5%, and expectations for a 0.5% rate cut have increased somewhat.
On September 13th, the Tokyo stock market is expected to have a relatively narrow range of price movements, with the Nikkei average price fluctuating around the previous day's closing price.
On September 13th, the Tokyo stock market is expected to have a relatively narrow range of price movements, with the Nikkei average price fluctuating around the previous day's closing price.
Top News
August PPI exceeds market expectations slightly.
In August, US PPI rose by 0.2% from the previous month, market expectations were a 0.1% increase, and July was revised downward to be flat.
August PPI exceeds market expectations slightly.
In August, US PPI rose by 0.2% from the previous month, market expectations were a 0.1% increase, and July was revised downward to be flat.
The probability of a 0.5% rate cut has risen to 28%.
The probability of a 0.5% interest rate cut at the September 17-18 FOMC meeting has once again increased. It had dropped to 15% the previous day, but has now risen to 28% (as of 8:00 am on September 13). The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported that policy makers are considering a rate cut of 0.25% to 0.5%.
The probability of a 0.5% interest rate cut at the September 17-18 FOMC meeting has once again increased. It had dropped to 15% the previous day, but has now risen to 28% (as of 8:00 am on September 13). The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported that policy makers are considering a rate cut of 0.25% to 0.5%.
The "AI semiconductor three musketeers" are different.
On September 13th, $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ rose by 4.0%, $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ rose by 1.9%. $Micron Technology (MU.US)$ It fell by 3.8%.
According to Bloomberg, Bernstein's analyst pointed out that investor sentiment towards AI semiconductors has temporarily paused, but the demand is clearly not, and Broadcom and Nvidia are still the leading candidates.
On September 13th, $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ rose by 4.0%, $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ rose by 1.9%. $Micron Technology (MU.US)$ It fell by 3.8%.
According to Bloomberg, Bernstein's analyst pointed out that investor sentiment towards AI semiconductors has temporarily paused, but the demand is clearly not, and Broadcom and Nvidia are still the leading candidates.
● BNP Paribas analyst changed their investment rating on Micron Technology from "buy" to "sell" and significantly lowered the target stock price. Among the analysts monitored by Bloomberg, only this person recommended selling Micron shares.
Nvidia's stock is at an important milestone.
NVIDIA shares rebounded sharply after CEO Jensen Huang stated that demand is very strong. The stock price is in a symmetrical triangle pattern, approaching a significant milestone that will indicate the future direction.
●三角持ち合いの上放れとなれば下降トレンドに終止符を付ける可能性がある。一方、下放れとなればさらに下値を試す可能性があると、Bloomberg TVで取り上げられた。NVIDIA shares rebounded sharply after CEO Jensen Huang stated that demand is very strong. The stock price is in a symmetrical triangle pattern, approaching a significant milestone that will indicate the future direction.
その他の個別銘柄情報
● $General Motors (GM.US)$ が3.3％上昇。Bloombergによると、GMは $TDK (6762.JP)$ が資金を拠出し運営する新工場からEV向けバッテリーを購入する方向で協議を行っている。バッテリーは同工場で組み立てられ、CATLの技術を採用することになるという。
● $Moderna (MRNA.US)$ が12.4％下落。今後３年間で研究開発費を約20％削減を目指すと発表し、嫌気された。
● $General Motors (GM.US)$ が3.3％上昇。Bloombergによると、GMは $TDK (6762.JP)$ が資金を拠出し運営する新工場からEV向けバッテリーを購入する方向で協議を行っている。バッテリーは同工場で組み立てられ、CATLの技術を採用することになるという。
● $Moderna (MRNA.US)$ が12.4％下落。今後３年間で研究開発費を約20％削減を目指すと発表し、嫌気された。
● $Adobe (ADBE.US)$ fell 8.9% in after-hours trading. Although incorporating AI models into its main products, its revenue outlook fell below market expectations.
The price of gold reached a record high.
As the US interest rate cut cycle is about to begin, the dollar index has fallen and the price of gold has reached a record high.
As the US interest rate cut cycle is about to begin, the dollar index has fallen and the price of gold has reached a record high.
Foreign Exchange
Major market events
Source: Dow Jones, MINKABU, Bloomberg, Wealth Advisor, Fisco
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
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なかじー大富豪 : Black Tuesday on the 17th, there will be a huge stock market crash in the US! We need to take precautions.
大負けネコ : I went out last night to watch a professional baseball game and came home late, so I couldn't check the American market and missed out on some profit-taking sales. The economic indicators on the 17th were weaker than expected, leading to concerns about the sustainability of the growth of the American market as a whole, such as the increase in U.S. debt and the trend of personal consumption savings. Therefore, as you mentioned, I personally believe that there is a possibility of a temporary adjustment in stock prices due to the deterioration of investor sentiment at some point next week, and I plan to take some profit-taking as a precautionary measure. However, I expect that whether it will be the way analysts expect or not will depend on the FOMC meeting scheduled for September 17-18, where a long-term interest rate cut of 0.25% is anticipated by the market. So, from September 19 onwards, there is a possibility of entering the most dangerous zone, to some extent. Well, in any case, I think it's a good idea to have fewer positions and more cash as a precautionary measure. I just hope we can stop worrying about the concern of economic recession reigniting. It's exhausting, you know?
なかじー大富豪 : I see. There is some truth to that. Lowering long-term interest rates at this timing. I think it would have been highly probable if not for this incident. It feels like sensing something and making a move at this timing. Maybe around the end of the month!