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[Morning Report] Will the S&P 500 develop a bullish sign for the option market today's Bank of Japan decision meeting to revise price forecasts

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moomooニュース米国株 wrote a column · Jan 22 17:08
[Morning Report] Will the S&P 500 develop a bullish sign for the option market today's Bank of Japan decision meeting to revise price forecasts
Good morning to all Moomoo users!Here are the key points of this morning's first report.
● [Tokyo Stock Exchange Rate Forecast Range] 36,300 yen - 36,800 yen (22nd closing price 36,546 yen 95 sen)
● A bullish sign is lit up in the option market, whether the S&P 500 is developing to further pursue higher prices
●Bank of Japan holds governor's conference in the afternoon to revise price forecasts up to fiscal year 25
● Approaching $1 = 150 yen, Bank of Japan prudence and US interest rate cuts observation retreat - intervention warning is also rekindled
● The US-December Leading Economic Index exceeded expectations and was -0.1%
● Bitcoin's 40,000 dollar split since December - fervor surrounding physical ETFs cools down
● Will “Trump 1 Strong” be blocked, a critical moment for Mr. Haley in the US Republican Party Primaries
-MooMoo News Mark
Market Overview
In the US stock market on the 22nd, the NY Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to rise for 3 days to 38,800 dollars 81 cents, 138 dollars, 01 cents higher than the previous business day. The Nasdaq Composite Stock Price Index rose 49.318 points to 15,360.286. The Tokyo Stock Exchange on the 23rd was a development where sales were slightly pushed by sales, and there seems to be a high possibility that the Nikkei Stock Average will stop rising.
Top news
A bullish sign is lighting up in the options market, whether the S&P 500 is developing to further pursue higher prices
In the options market, there is an increase in transactions where the S&P 500 stock price index, which hit a high on the 19th of the previous weekend, is expected to rise one step higher. According to data from the market data provider Spot Gamma, the so-called “call barrier” has been rounded up from 4800 to 5000, which suggests the view that the market has broken through the next hurdle for further price increases. The new level is further 3.3% above the closing price on the 19th.
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The S&P 500 has the highest price every day, and the buying momentum continues - first half of the 148 yen range
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Bank of Japan holds governor's conference in the afternoon to revise price forecasts until fiscal year 25
The Bank of Japan will discuss economic conditions such as prices and wage increases at the monetary policy meeting on the 23rd. Currently, while inflationary pressure due to high raw materials is weakening, the upward trend in service prices, which is easy to reflect trends in labor costs, continues. The Bank of Japan will revise the forecast for the rate of increase in the consumer price index (excluding fresh food) until 2025 and determine the sustainability of a virtuous cycle of wages and prices.
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The monthly transaction volume of Japanese government bonds reached a high level for the first time in over 10 years, and the Bank of Japan loosened its reins
Wage increase, nominal 3.6% is necessary for positive conversion to focus real wages
Approaching $1 = 150 yen, Bank of Japan prudence and US interest rate cuts observation retreat - intervention warning is also rekindled
Dark clouds have cast over the yen appreciation scenario of market participants. The performance of yen since the beginning of the year is the lowest among major currencies, and 1 dollar = 150 yen, which is regarded as a warning zone for exchange intervention, is approaching. There is awareness of the risk that the depreciation of the yen will accelerate further on the occasion of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting on the 23rd, where maintenance of monetary easing measures is expected.
The US-December Leading Economic Index exceeded expectations and was -0.1%
The US-12 Leading Economic Index (conference board) announced at 0:00 a.m. on the 23rd Japan time exceeded expectations and was -0.1% compared to the previous month.
Bill Gross says the FRB will stop quantitative tightening and start cutting interest rates
Bill Gross, who is the co-founder of Pacific Investment Management (PIMCO), expressed the idea that balance sheet compression should be stopped and interest rate cuts should begin in the next few months in order to avoid entering a recession (recession) of the US economy with respect to the US financial authorities.
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The US economy will enter a recession in 2024 - the person in charge of the Brevent investigation predicts
Bitcoin splits by 40,000 dollars since December - the enthusiasm surrounding physical ETFs cools down
The crypto asset (virtual currency) Bitcoin broke through the 40,000 dollar mark for the first time since early December last year on the 22nd. The enthusiasm surrounding the advent of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which directly invest in physical bitcoins, has cooled down. Bitcoin fell 5.3% at 1 hour and hit a low of 39,556 dollars as of 2:42 p.m. EST on the 22nd (4:42 a.m. on the 23rd Japan time), which is the lowest price since 12/4.
AI cannot take away most human jobs at the moment and is less cost-effective - research
The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) is a study analyzing the impact on employment related to artificial intelligence (AI), and it was pointed out that AI cannot replace humans in a cost-effective manner for most jobs at the moment.
Will “Trump 1 strong” be blocked, a critical moment for Mr. Haley in the US Republican Party primary election
For those who want to prevent former President Trump from winning in the Republican nomination candidate battle for the US presidential election, the New Hampshire primary election is becoming the best and probably last chance. Governor DeSantis of Florida announced his withdrawal from the election campaign on the 21st, and since support for Mr. Trump was clarified, it looks like the importance of the New Hampshire primary election has further increased.
Forex
Key market events
[Morning Report] Will the S&P 500 develop a bullish sign for the option market today's Bank of Japan decision meeting to revise price forecasts
Distributor: Dow Jones, MINKABU, Bloomberg, Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Welshadvisor, Fisco
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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  • 181338057犬心久美子 : If ❓ America 🇺🇸 didn't have the coronavirus pandemic ❓
    Apart from where geopolitics is happening.
    I don't think S&P or NASDAQ are this expensive now. I looked at the chart 📈 all the way back and took a quick look. Obviously, it's just personal subjectivity, but I think it's a “petit bubble or bubble.” Of course if you look at it from a different angle
    At last the pain I suffered during the pandemic
    Are they reacting to take it back? I let go of NASDAQ last fall and should have held it...
    I don't know why[undefined]But TEC companies
    M7 is cheering 📣.
    Currently, if you look around, the words generation A I, GPU, and ⭕⭕ nano are dancing. However,
    If it spreads ❓ I wonder if there is room for growth.
    I wonder if it is possible to maintain the progress of individual companies that have now made a breakthrough and continue to rise like Rising Dragon 🐉⤴️.
    I wonder if I'm thinking too much.
    What rises rises ‼️ However, I don't want you to cut the thread. On the other hand, the Nikkei Average is probably not a bubble; on the contrary, I think it will be in the future.
    We arrived after going through a long, empty cavity.
    Weaknesses also depend on foreign investors and institutions,
    Now from China to Japan
    It looks like their eyes are being turned on.
    If America 🇺🇸 is Gulliver
    To the normal, small-looking Japan that is around
    Maybe it's my turn.
    Incidentally, I can hear octopus 🐙 every day
    What is the new NISA ✖️ that jumps into the second
    I can hear it, but
    Actually, I'm a new NISA refugee[undefined][undefined]
    Since it is not possible to roll over from the old NISA
    I thought I'd cancel the contract and make a new one
    I want to see how things are going for six months. Even if you regret it, it's a personal decision[undefined]

  • 181691283 : Raytheon ⇒ ☓
    RTX⇒○

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