Has the short-term rise resumed!?
Analysis summary
・fundamental analysis
→The future focus will be on the US policy interest rate, FED watch, and financial results to be announced on 8/1.
・Technical analysis
→There is a short-term increase. However, even if it rises, 20,000 is expected to be the limit. After that, there is a possibility that the market will fall
☆ Recent fundamental analysis
・US GDP 2.8%, PCE deflator 2.6%. Interest rates will be cut in September, and expectations for a soft landing will rise.
→The US policy interest rate/FED watch to be announced on 8/1 will be the focus of the future.
☆ Featured Settlement
GOOGLE: Sales 84.742 billion (YoY: 13.59%) EPS 1.89 (YoY: 31.25%) →More than expected
Cloud revenue of 10.347 billion →More than expected. It is said that cloud-related investments will continue in the future
TESLA: sales of 25.5 billion (year-on-year ratio: 2.30%) → EPS 0.42 (year-on-year ratio: -46.15%) higher than expected →Less than expected
Trends in robo-taxis → It is difficult to predict their implementation. In the pastOptimistic predictionsIt has been done, but as a matter of now, it is expected that unsupervised operation will be possible by the end of the year (investors are skeptical)
☆ Recent technical analysis
・Moving averages/chart patterns
5/21/50 day moving average dead cross. The negative line comes into contact with the 75-day moving average, but it rises on 7/26 with a positive line
→Is there a short-term backlash?However, even if it rises, 20,000 seems to be the limit (will it rise to Granville's Law ⑥)
・Ichimoku balance table
Cloud torsion occurs. However, there is room for the lag span to shift from an upward shift to a downtrend in the medium term.
・BOLL × RSI
BOLL touches the candlestick to -2σ. RSI rises from 16 (Thu) to 29 (Fri)
→How about buying pointsGood timing (BOLL: -2σ, RSI: 30 or less). There is room for growth in the short term.
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tm_speedstyle371 : Thank you very much for the excellent analysis. I'm expecting 22,000 would be good![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
p1034 OP tm_speedstyle371 : Certainly the best thing is that they update the new high price
However, the decline since summer withering seems to be anomalous, so I want to be careful