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Multiple Catalysts Ahead - Is Tesla Stock Set to Surge Again?

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Analysts Notebook wrote a column · Sep 5 17:21
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ shares surged over 4% on Wednesday, outperforming a broader decline in large-cap technology stocks. Despite a 25% gain over the past three months, Tesla's stock has been stable since late July as investors await updates on vehicle deliveries, the upcoming robotaxi event, and third-quarter earnings, all expected next month.
At the same time, Tesla's latest sales data from China has also boosted market confidence. Additionally, Elon Musk's optimistic vision for the future of robots, as shared on X, has reignited market interest in the humanoid robot Optimus, which will be showcased at the INCLUSION conference in Shanghai.
Will these positive developments and catalysts trigger Tesla's next surge? Let's take a look at Wall Street's latest target prices for Tesla.
Multiple Catalysts Ahead - Is Tesla Stock Set to Surge Again?
Tesla's China Sales Boost Investor Optimism
Investor optimism toward Tesla's stock is likely fueled by the electric vehicle maker's strong sales numbers in China. According to the China Passenger Car Association, Tesla sold 86,697 vehicles in August, a 17% increase from July and a 3% rise from the same month last year, as reported by CnEVPost. A detailed report breaking down domestic sales and exports is expected later this week.
Tesla's Humanoid Robots to Watch
Tesla watchers were encouraged by Elon Musk's latest comments on X (formerly Twitter). Responding to a tweet about his well-being, Musk said he felt "Mostly good, some bad" and added an exciting note: "The future is going to be wild. There will be so many robots..." As Tesla is actively developing robots, the market likely saw this as a reaffirmation of the company's commitment to robotics.
Source: X
Source: X
Additionally, the three-day INCLUSION·Conference on the Bund will showcase the latest in humanoid robots, AI-driven technology solutions, generative AI models, and smart gadgets. Starting Thursday at Huangpu World Expo Park, the event will span 10,000 square meters and feature over 100 leading technology companies and research institutions. The focus will be on advancements in home life, pet care, health care, and smartphone-based assistants. Highlights include Tesla's cybertruck and humanoid robot Optimus, as well as Unitree Robotics' H1 humanoid model and Go2 robot dog. The fair aims to demonstrate the positive potential and everyday applications of AI and digital assistants.
FSD & Robotaxi
Tesla plans to launch its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software in Europe and China in the first quarter of 2025, pending regulatory approval. The company announced this on social media, responding to popular demand. Throughout this year, Tesla will focus on improving FSD in the U.S. and deploying it on the Cybertruck. CEO Elon Musk expressed optimism about receiving regulatory approvals by the end of this year. While FSD is an advanced driver assistance technology, it does not yet allow for fully autonomous driving. Musk remains confident Tesla will eventually achieve full autonomy.
Source: X
Source: X
Tesla is set to unveil its long-awaited robotaxi on October 10, following years of delays. According to a Bloomberg report, the robotaxi will be fully autonomous, lacking a steering wheel and pedals, and will operate through a new Tesla-run ride-hailing service. The vehicle, referred to by Elon Musk as the "Cybercab," may draw design inspiration from the Cybertruck and will utilize Tesla's Autopilot and Full Self-Driving systems. The reveal, previously delayed due to design changes and the need for additional prototypes, will take place at the Warner Bros. Discovery movie studio in Burbank, California.
Source: Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, Investor's Business Daily, SHINE, CarAndDriver
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