My trading plan on Oracle!

- Total Revenue: 12.45B, up 9% yoy, A significant slowdown from the 17% growth rate of the previous quarter.
- Net Income: 2.42B, down 56% yoy but down 26.5% QoQ.
- EPS: $1.19, up 15.5% yoy.
- Debt & Cash flow: stay level.
- Earnings Forecast: Forecasted cloud sales revenue growth of 29% to 31% is less than half the growth rate of the first fiscal quarter.

- PE_TTM peers: 41x (industry average 37x)
- PE_TTM history: 100% above historical data
- Analyst Ratings: buy55%，hold45%，sell0
- Analyst Ratings Price: Highest tp $150, average tp $134, lowest tp $105

- Cloud service revenue: 9.95B Cloud revenue grew at less than half the rate of the first fiscal quarter
- AI growth analysis: Oracle's RDMA-linked Supercluster, NVIDIA's cloud infrastructure service, trains AI models twice as fast and at less than half the cost of other clouds. Social media X, formerly known as Twitter, signed a deal with Oracle to train their AI models using Oracle's second-generation cloud. All nine of Warren Buffett-led Berkshire Hathaway's utilities will replace their existing enterprise resource planning systems with Oracle's Fusion Cloud applications.

- Position Cost Distribution: Average cost $118, pressure at $126
- PCD Analysis: In a risky area, Massive number of holdings are profitable

- Trending lines: The long term trend is above the 200 MA; The short term trend: 24-day MA also above the 50-day, up trending strongly; Although there has been a pullback since June, it has not been significant.
- Chart&Candle patterns: The uptrend saw three White Soliders and was immediately followed by a Dragonfly doji, suggesting stronger bearish forces.
- Oversold&Overbought: in a overbought area, Possible pullback

- fundamental: Oracle just reported slower revenue and profit growth, as well as slower revenue growth in its core cloud business expected in the next quarter. It's already down 8% after hours. But considering the AI-enabled growth of the company's cloud business, even though Oracle's cloud business is still well below Amazon, Microsoft, and Google. But the order book is already showing a decent increase.

- technical: Trending up but in overbought zone, not a good time to buy.

- Buy Considerations: Fundamentals long term bullish, buy dip
- Sell Considerations: Stronger short-term downtrend due to earnings issues, below 50-day MA

- Positioning: 10% position
- Buy Plan: 116 buy-in 4%, 112 buy-in 6%
- Stop-loss strategy: Short Stop 100 (down 7% of position)
- Take-profit strategy: 50% 130 PCD Pressure Level, 50% of 127