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Fed minutes released: Rate cuts likely, but path highly uncertain
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Nasdaq 100 Reaches Record Highs in 2023, Best Performance Since 2009

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Analysts Notebook joined discussion · Dec 18, 2023 17:30
The tech-heavy gauge $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ achieved a record high for the first time in two years, aided by potential rate cuts. The index has risen by 52% in 2023, putting it on track for its best year since 2009.
Source: moomoo
Source: moomoo
The $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ has increased by 3.8% this month, while the $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ and $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ have risen by 3.3% and 4.1%, respectively, in December. The S&P 500 has recorded its lengthiest weekly winning streak since 2017, and is within a 2% range of surpassing its all-time high from January 2022. Following the Federal Reserve's announcement of three interest rate cuts scheduled for 2024, which served to boost investor sentiment, Wall Street showed an upward trend this week. Moreover, the November retail sales data came in better than anticipated and, combined with lower inflation readings, improved hopes that the Federal Reserve could achieve a soft landing.
The seven largest stocks in the S&P 500, dubbed the "Magnificent Seven," began 2022 with a combined market cap of $11.78 trillion; however, they suffered significant losses during the year, resulting in an average drop of 47.7%. This caused their total market cap to plummet to just $6.9 trillion by the end of the year. Nevertheless, these same stocks had an average gain of 106.6% in 2023, though not all of them have fully recovered. As a result, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 reached a record high in 2023.
Nasdaq 100 Reaches Record Highs in 2023, Best Performance Since 2009
What Analysts & Officials Say
• "The falling interest-rate environment has provided a huge support for the long-duration Nasdaq 100 Index," said Gary Bradshaw, a portfolio manager at Hodges Capital Management in Dallas, Texas. "If you look at the fundamentals of the group, they're strong for the big-tech names and other firms in the index, which should support a further advance.”
New York Fed President John Williams pushed back on the euphoria around the central bank easing rates next year.
We aren't really talking about rate cuts right now," Williams told CNBC's Steve Liesman in an interview on Friday.
“Stocks got a major sentiment boost from Wednesday's Fed meeting, but that immediate effect was bound to wear off," said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E-Trade.
The market doesn't go up every day, no matter how strong a trend is. Pullbacks and pauses are inevitable, regardless of how big they are or how long they last."
Source: CNBC, REUTERS, Bloomberg
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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