Malaysia's economic growth likely picked up in the second quarter of 2024, driven by export-oriented industries, even as the latest industrial production data came in weaker than expected. Gross domestic product (GDP) likely grew 4.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) in Q2 from 4.2% in Q1, taking into account stronger industrial production growth coupled with better export, wholesale and retail trade, palm production, and motor vehicle sales. Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is likely to keep the overnight policy rate on hold for the rest of 2024, given the improving GDP growth momentum and manageable inflation. Malaysia's growth will likely stay underpinned by externally-facing industries, specifically its manufacturing and trade sectors. The official projection calls for 4%-5% GDP growth this year, boosted by exports recovery, higher tourist arrivals, resilient consumer spending, and business investments.
103677010 : noted
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