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This week's earnings reports and economic calendar (2/19~2/23) depend on nvidia's earnings! Will there be further momentum in the semiconductor stock market?

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moomooニュース米国株 wrote a column · Feb 17 03:42
Points of this week
This week, Japanese stocks are expected to reach a short-term consolidation phase. With few important economic indicators being released, both domestic and international companies have completed their earnings reports, resulting in fewer individual catalysts.There is a lack of new clues.On the other hand, depending on the performance of the major semiconductor companies in the USA $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$there is a possibility that stock index movements in Japan and the USA may become volatile. Additionally, the USA will be closed on the 19th, and Japan on the 23rd.
The major focus of this week will be the earnings report from nvidia on the 21st.The market has high expectations for the company's stock, as its market capitalization surpassed Alphabet on the 14th, making it the third largest US company.The direction of the overall market seems likely to be influenced by whether the semiconductor sector gets a further boost from the earnings report, or if it exhausts its positive catalysts.The US stock options market isIt is assumed that the company's stock will move very significantly after earnings reports.On the other hand, while there is not necessarily overvaluation in Japanese stocks themselves, they are likely to become a resting point in the rising market triggered by the exhaustion of materials in the US stock market. Additionally, it is believed that many investors who missed the upward trend of Japanese stocks since the beginning of the year may enter buying on dips even if there is a short-term correction.The trend of focusing on high-tech stocks and other stocks with high index contributions may expand in the future.becomes.
While Nvidia's performance is expected to be strong, guidance and comments are more important.Above all, guidance and comments are crucial.Yes.Will smaller AI-related stocks that have lagged behind domestically start to rise?I am paying attention to how it will develop. It has contributed to the rise of the Nikkei Average since the beginning of the year. $Tokyo Electron (8035.JP)$ $Advantest (6857.JP)$The high stock prices of semiconductor-related companies such as Nvidia are driven by expectations of strong performance, and there may be nervous movements before and after the event.
The dollar-yen exchange rate this week is expected to attract attention as to whether it will rise to the 151 yen range, the first time since mid-November last year.and.The minutes of the January FOMC meeting.and.Remarks by senior officials of the Federal Reserve are scheduled and market movements to examine the timing of interest rate cuts are expected. However, it is considered difficult to provide new clues. Due to the lack of important economic indicators, the current trend of a stronger dollar and a weaker yen is likely to continue. However, there is concern about intervention by the Japanese government and the Bank of Japan to buy yen, especially after Finance Minister Kanda Masato indicated that they would respond appropriately if necessary regarding a weaker yen. As a result, the movement to increase long positions in the dollar and sell yen is expected to slow down as it approaches the 151 yen level.The remarks of senior officials of the Federal Reserve are scheduled, and there is an expectation for market movements to examine the timing of interest rate cuts. However, it is considered difficult to provide new clues. Due to the lack of important economic indicators, the current trend of a stronger dollar and a weaker yen is likely to continue.Remarks by senior officials of the Federal Reserve are scheduled, and there is an expectation for market movements to examine the timing of interest rate cuts. However, it is considered difficult to provide new clues. Due to the lack of important economic indicators, the current trend of a stronger dollar and a weaker yen is likely to continue.Remarks by senior officials of the Federal Reserve are scheduled, and there is an expectation for market movements to examine the timing of interest rate cuts. However, it is considered difficult to provide new clues. Due to the lack of important economic indicators, the current trend of a stronger dollar and a weaker yen is likely to continue.Remarks by senior officials of the Federal Reserve are scheduled, and there is an expectation for market movements to examine the timing of interest rate cuts. However, it is considered difficult to provide new clues. Due to the lack of important economic indicators, the current trend of a stronger dollar and a weaker yen is likely to continue.Remarks by senior officials of the Federal Reserve are scheduled, and there is an expectation for market movements to examine the timing of interest rate cuts. However, it is considered difficult to provide new clues. Due to the lack of important economic indicators, the current trend of a stronger dollar and a weaker yen is likely to continue.
This week's earnings reports and economic calendar (2/19~2/23) depend on nvidia's earnings! Will there be further momentum in the semiconductor stock market?
Last week market points
Last week's market points 1. The Nikkei Average rose for the third week in a row, recovering to the 0.03 million 8000 yen range, approaching the all-time high of the 0.03 million 8800 yen range.
2. US CPI, core index up significantly for the first time in 8 months, early rate cut expectations recede, USD/JPY breaks 150 yen.
3. Nvidia's market cap surpasses Amazon and Google to become the 4th largest in the world, astonishing rapid growth in the AI boom.
4. Bitcoin recovers to the 50,000 dollar range for the first time in about 2 years, buying continues despite the risk-averse atmosphere.
5. Warren Buffett sells a portion of his Apple shares for the first time in 3 years, a bad sign for Apple stock?
6. SoundHound AI surges 66%, Nvidia's investment becomes clear.
7. Applied stock temporarily surges 11% after earnings report in after-hours trading, suggesting a bullish outlook for the semiconductor industry's recovery.
The Nikkei average rose for the third consecutive week, closing at 0.03 million8487.24 yen, up 1,589.82 yen (4.31%) from the previous week. The Nikkei average stock price temporarily rose to the 0.03 million8800 yen range, nearing the all-time high set in December 1989, amid expectations of a soft landing for the US economy and solid performance of Japanese and American companies.Approaching 50 yen.There was a situation. The rise of Japanese stocks outpaced U.S. stocks. The "fear" of investors who missed out on buying is fueling the rise in stocks. In the market, there is growing expectation that the Nikkei Average will reach its all-time high. It is only a matter of time. However, there are also voices of caution due to the recent sharp rise, saying that there is clearly overheating in the semiconductor sector. In U.S. economic indicators, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) areshowing signs of overheating.
However, there are also voices of caution due to the recent sharp rise, saying that there is clearly overheating in the semiconductor sector. Exceeding expectations.As a result, the anticipation of an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve Board has significantly receded.In particular, the month-to-month change in the US core CPI index was the highest increase in the past 8 months.Following the higher-than-expected US CPI, there hasn't been a change in the market's expectations of an interest rate cut by the end of the year, but there is a sudden rise in the belief that the interest rate cut will start in the summer or later.The USD/JPY has sharply increased and is at a high level.And the market has risen.And the market has risen.And the market has risen.1ドル=150円を上抜け、ここ数年の高値である151円乗せが目前に迫った。しかし、15日に発表された小売売上高が予想より大幅な落ち込みとなり、米FRBによる早期利下げへの期待が再び強まった。ただ、冬の悪天候が影響した可能性があるほか、季節的なテクニカル要因によってデータに歪みが生じているおそれがあるため、エコノミストの間からは深読みすべきではないという指摘も聞かれた。みずほ証券の上野泰也チーフマーケットエコノミストは「米国のディスインフレ傾向は変わらず、次の政策変更は利下げという根本部分が覆されない限り、米株式相場は断続的に上値を試す」との見方を示す。
AIブームで投資家らが $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$株に殺到する中、エヌビディアの時価総額が13日にアマゾンを追い抜き、14日、グーグルの親会社アルファベットをも追い抜いた形でIt has risen to fourth place in the global market capitalization rankings.In addition, it was revealed in the Form 13F stock ownership report submitted by Nvidia on the 14th that they held 1.73 million883 shares of a voice AI platform as of the end of December 2023. In response to this, SoundHound AI surged temporarily by 80% on the 15th. $SoundHound AI (SOUN.US)$It was also revealed that they have invested in other British and American biotechnology companies.On the other hand, it surged by 80% on the 15th.Other investments include British and American biotechnology companies. $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$investment include British and American biotechnology companies. $Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX.US)$Also, it has been revealed that they hold 1.73 million883 shares of a voice AI platform as of the end of December 2023.
Meanwhile, it was revealed that the American investor Warren Buffett, known as the "God of Investment," leads. $Berkshire Hathaway-A (BRK.A.US)$The US stock market has reduced its shareholding by just over 1% for the first time in 3 years. $Apple (AAPL.US)$It is expected that profits were realized due to the rise in stock prices.However, as Buffett's investment strategy has attracted the attention of many investors, there is a possibility that selling Apple stocks could negatively affect investor sentiment.Berkshire reduced its holdings of Apple stocks the last time when the stock price of Apple rose by more than 80% in 9 months after the decline caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.However, in the following 3 months, the stock price of Apple fell by about 8%.In the same 3 months,The US stock market reduced its shareholding by just over 1% for the first time in 3 years.In the same 3 months, $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$Given the 5.77% increase, the challenging performance of Apple stock can also be felt.
The largest US semiconductor manufacturing equipment company $Applied Materials (AMAT.US)$saw a temporary increase of over 11% in after-hours trading after the close of regular trading on the 15th.They showed a bullish outlook for this quarter's revenue and suggested that the semiconductor industry is recovering at a faster pace than expected.Indicates that the recovery of the semiconductor industry is progressing at a faster pace than expected.Bitcoin has risen to $0.05 million for the first time in about 2 years in the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin has recovered from a significant 64% drop recorded in 2022 and has tripled in value since the beginning of last year, as market expectations of an early rate cut receded with the release of the US CPI. While there was a risk-averse atmosphere in the market, Bitcoin continues to be bought.
Sources: MINKABU, Bloomberg, investing, Traders Web, Wealth Advisor, Reuters
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