$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$ During the closing announcement, it ...

live dog penetrate : I decided in June that the US had already entered recession and sold everything except NISA
If you sell with a reason, I think it's okay to sell
It's better to forget you bought it and go to bed than if an amateur sells it in dismay

萬子 live dog penetrate : Please tell me

I lost 60 million

live dog penetrate 萬子 : Historically, when the unemployment rate enters an upward trend in the United States, it almost certainly enters a recession at or shortly after
As that lagging index, there is the Therm Rule, which has been a hot topic since about six months ago
The Therm Rule is not an index that shows a recession in advance; it is an index based on the empirical rule that the probability that it has already entered a recession is extremely high

The reason I sold all of my stocks in June was because the upward trend in the unemployment rate became clear
As of August, that Therm rule has come into effect (strictly speaking, not yet)
In most cases, the Dow fell 10% from the time the unemployment rate turned into an upward trend until the Saam Rule came into effect
Historically, most cases of a further 20-40% decline after the Therm Rule was triggered
In other words, in the case of the US stock index, it is correct as an expected value that it will go from a decline of about 30% from now on

However, it is also true that if you are a newbie to stocks you don't know much about, the results will probably be better
This is because even if you sell it now, even if it hits the best place to buy in the subsequent decline, you miss out on buying because you don't have proper knowledge, and you'll either buy it at a higher price than now or never return to the market price

It's a big lie that it's easy for amateurs to be gachiho, and it's quite mentally painful even for professionals with proper knowledge to keep getting gagged during a crash
What is the principle behind the decline? How far will it fall? Can amateurs who don't understand it really do it? It makes me think

萬子 : I have no choice but to die.
I wanted to make up for the losses I had just now
I wasn't able to secure an advantage.
Moreover, it has a long history
They leave and die.
I don't have the energy to work this time either.
Eight years ago, even if the same thing happened
I was able to revive.
There are only stocks with high value
Good-bye and thank you