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NVIDIA's Q4 Earnings Blowout: Buy, sell or hold?
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Nvidia Earnings Surpass Expectations Again, AI faith ignites the global stock market! [Learn Premium Weekly Review]

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Invest With Cici joined discussion · Feb 23 04:55
Nvidia Earnings Surpass Expectations Again, AI faith ignites the global stock market! [Learn Premium Weekly Review]
Market Overview: Interest rate cuts expectations subdued, while the US economy encouraging
The U.S. stock market was closed for a day this week to celebrate Washington's Birthday on Monday. The following day, it continued its downward trend from last week.

January's CPI increase exceeding market expectations weighed on prospects for a rate cut. Currently, the CME's interest rate forecasting tool indicates that the rate cuts will likely begin in June.
Nvidia Earnings Surpass Expectations Again, AI faith ignites the global stock market! [Learn Premium Weekly Review]
Due to that, market optimism has been muted since last week. However, the pessimistic expectation of rate cuts did not last long. The market's attention has shifted to Nvidia's earnings report, and investors believe that whether the AI boom can continue may be the key question that determines the outlook for the U.S. stock market.

NVIDIA's impressive earnings report on Thursday also cheered the market, with good results and optimistic future expectations surprising the market and sending tech stocks higher.

At the same time, the better-than-expected U.S. economic and employment data fueled the market surge on Thursday!

Market Hotspots:
Nvidia's earnings dazzled the market. AI faith ignites the global stock market!

After the market closed on Wednesday, February 21, all eyes were on AI giant Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ as it released its Q4 earnings report. The performance crushed the peers, and the stock price surged 16% the next day. Its single-day market value increased by more than $200 billion, creating a record for the highest single-day market value jump in U.S. stock history. Nvidia's financial report highlights included:

1. Revenues of $22.1 billion, greatly surpassing analysts' expectations of $20.41 billion, with quarterly income even exceeding the full-year income of 2021.
Nvidia Earnings Surpass Expectations Again, AI faith ignites the global stock market! [Learn Premium Weekly Review]
2. The largest revenue contributor was its data center segment, with fourth-quarter revenues of $18.4 billion, a massive 409% increase year-on-year. CEO Jensen Huang mentioned on the earnings call that this was driven by more diverse factors, including demands for data processing and training by large cloud service providers and specialized GPU vendors, as well as needs from enterprise software and consumer internet companies.
Nvidia Earnings Surpass Expectations Again, AI faith ignites the global stock market! [Learn Premium Weekly Review]
3. Guidance for the next quarter was optimistic, forecasting revenues of $24 billion and a gross margin of 76.3%, also beating market expectations.

4. For the upcoming year, Huang committed to introducing innovative new products that will help drive the development of the AI industry, while demand for the company's next-generation products is expected to far exceed supply.


Japan stocks continue to hit new highs, worth investing in?

On Thursday, February 22, the $Nikkei 225(.N225.JP)$ , which has been hitting new highs since 2024, hit another all-time high of 39,098.68!

Since the bubble economy of 1980, the Japanese economy has been continuously sluggish, and companies have maintained the status quo for many years, lacking innovation and the economy has hardly grown.

With some economic policies and reform plans in recent years, such as loose monetary policy, large-scale fiscal stimulus, corporate governance reform, etc., the operating mode of Japanese companies is changing, and these changes are injecting vitality into the economy. At the same time, the huge interest rate differential between the U.S. dollar and the yen has continued to weaken the yen, which has improved the export competitiveness of Japanese companies and, to some extent, their profitability.

Due to the improvement in corporate profits and the tightening of U.S. monetary policy, a large amount of foreign capital flowed into the Japanese stock market, pushing up the stock market. In 2023, foreign capital flowing into the Japanese stock market reached as high as $43.39 billion, the largest inflow since 2014.
Nvidia Earnings Surpass Expectations Again, AI faith ignites the global stock market! [Learn Premium Weekly Review]
In addition, there is an important reason that attracts global investors' attention to the Japanese stock market - Buffett's affirmation. He believes that there are many undervalued companies in the Japanese Capital Markets, and the companies have a large amount of cash flow and a very low leverage ratio. Buffett increased his holdings in the five major Japanese trading companies as early as mid-2023!

In addition, as domestic investors in Japan choose to take profits, international investors' buying power is also weakening. One factor that cannot be ignored is that Japan has suffered from inflation in the past, and corporate profits come from imported inflation rather than real consumer demand. Therefore, whether the Japanese economy can form a virtuous cycle between prices and wages in 2024 may be the key to the performance of the Japanese stock market. At the same time, once the two form a virtuous cycle, Japan's low-interest rate monetary policy may not be sustainable. The rise in corporate borrowing costs will weigh on profits.

Currently, investing in Japanese stocks can be done through Nikkei ETFs listed in the US or Hong Kong. You can search "Japan" globally on Moomoo to view ETFs tracking Nikkei. You can select and track based on factors such as assets under management, constituent stock tracking index, management fee, and dividend payout of the ETF.
Nvidia Earnings Surpass Expectations Again, AI faith ignites the global stock market! [Learn Premium Weekly Review]

Week's Premium Learning materials
Trading Lessons:  In this week's trading tutorials, we explored another market phenomenon crucial in technical analysis - [pullback]. A pullback refers to a temporary price correction against the prevailing trend. A pullback signals to traders that the primary trend is on a temporary hold, offering an opportunity to capitalize on short-term price adjustments within the overarching trend.
Nvidia Earnings Surpass Expectations Again, AI faith ignites the global stock market! [Learn Premium Weekly Review]
Opportunity Mining: In the 2023 fourth-quarter earnings report season, $Microsoft(MSFT.US)$ and $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ achieved significant growth thanks to AI, resulting in increased market value and profits; Microsoft maintained its position as the world's most valuable company; Although $Apple(AAPL.US)$ returned to growth, it still faced challenges of innovation; $Amazon(AMZN.US)$ efficiency enhancement efforts boosted profits; while $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US)$ advertising business suffered due to the impact of short videos; $Meta Platforms(META.US)$ successfully reformed and increased shareholder returns; $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ price sharp drop with experiencing a period of product stagnation and slow growth.

Currently, the "Magnificent 7" responses to challenges and opportunities in AI are beginning to diverge.
Nvidia Earnings Surpass Expectations Again, AI faith ignites the global stock market! [Learn Premium Weekly Review]

Trading Insights from Learn Group
@Bull Todd
On February 14th, the market was optimistic about $Applied Materials(AMAT.US)$ earnings report. On February 15, after the close of trading, I paid attention to the stock price movement and placed an order at $195 after confirming the upward trend. Then, I kept adjusting the buy price and finally bought at $198. When it rose to $216 5 minutes later, it showed weakness to continue climbing. I decided to make a profit of $212, and the ultra-short-term trading profit was about 6%.
Nvidia Earnings Surpass Expectations Again, AI faith ignites the global stock market! [Learn Premium Weekly Review]
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