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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Analysis of nvidia's stock price supply a...
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Analysis of the supply and demand balance of nvidia's stock price. It is greatly influenced by the following factors.
1. Current supply and demand balance
Demand side: nvidia's GPUs maintain high demand for AI and datacenter applications. In particular, strong demand for the new GPU 'Blackwell' is expected to continue high for the next several quarters, with shipments exceeding expectations.
On the supply side, nvidia is expanding its production capacity and strengthening cooperation with partner companies such as TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) that handle chip production. However, the supply system to keep up with the rapid demand growth is a challenge, and there are concerns about supply shortages for specific products.
2. Investor psychology and the impact on stock prices
The temporary stock price decline seen after the financial results is due to the market factoring in a slowdown in growth. However, with the expected solid earnings growth in the future, it can be said that the overall balance of supply and demand is supporting the stock price.
Investors are focusing on the sustainability of AI demand and nvidia's ability to meet it, with concerns that short-term supply shortages could have an impact.
3. Trends in supply and demand
Nvidia's stock price is currently maintaining a strong trend supported by expanding demand, but whether the supply capacity can catch up with the demand is believed to have an impact on the future stock price performance. Amidst the rapid increase in demand and supply constraints, the establishment of an appropriate supply system is required.
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NOIR(のあ) OP : Regarding investor psychology among these. For those who are not shareholders of NVDA but look at the monthly chart, if they find it difficult to buy now when they see the rise, I recommend reconsidering the growth potential of AI. (In addition, understanding GCT will deepen the understanding of the company NVDA.) There is no sense of overvaluation in the PER. It means that earnings are keeping up. I rather think that the stock price is not catching up with the earnings.