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Oracle's Post-Earnings Surge: Is Now the Time to Buy?

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YawningKitty_x_x wrote a column · Sep 12 03:59
Following Oracle's announcement on Monday night that it had exceeded both top and bottom line estimates for its fiscal first quarter, the cloud provider's shares surged over 10%.
With ORCL up roughly +50% YTD and ranking among the best-performing tech stocks this year, investors may be considering whether to join the post-earnings rally.
Oracle's Post-Earnings Surge: Is Now the Time to Buy?
Oracle's Q1 Financial Report
Oracle's strong first-quarter results were mostly driven by growth in revenue from cloud infrastructure. Through its collaboration with Nvidia, this includes high-performance AI apps that operate on Remote Direct Memory Access (RDMA).
Oracle's Q1 sales was $13.3 billion, exceeding projections of $13.21 billion by 7% year over year. In terms of profitability, Q1 EPS of $1.39 per share increased 17% from $1.19 a year earlier and above forecasts by 5%.
Additionally, Oracle and Amazon announced a new collaboration that will let users access Oracle databases through Amazon Web Services (AWS).
Oracle's Post-Earnings Surge: Is Now the Time to Buy?
Revenue Guidance & Growth Trajectory
Oracle's sales growth forecast for the second quarter is between 8% and 10%, which is consistent with our Consensus of $14.01 billion in sales or 8% increase (see current quarter below).
Oracle's overall sales are predicted to rise 9% to $57.82 billion in its current fiscal year 2025 from $52.96 billion in FY24. Moreover, FY26 sales are anticipated to increase by an additional 11% to $64.02 billion.
Oracle's Post-Earnings Surge: Is Now the Time to Buy?
Better yet, Oracle's yearly profits are expected to increase by 11% in FY25 and 13% more in FY26, reaching $6.98 per share.
Oracle's Post-Earnings Surge: Is Now the Time to Buy?
Comparison of Valuations
Oracle's stock, which is currently trading at $155, has a forward earnings multiple of 22.6X, which is a nice discount to the Computer-Software Industry average of 33.6X and somewhat less than the S&P 500's 23X.
Oracle's market value is lower than that of several of its well-known technology partners, such as Nvidia and Amazon, which are valued at 38X and 36.9X, respectively, of their future profits.
Oracle's Post-Earnings Surge: Is Now the Time to Buy?
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