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This week's financial results and economic calendar (2/12 to 2/16) pay attention to the final round of financial results and US CPI! Is the AI market going to “Act 2”?

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moomooニュース米国株 wrote a column · Feb 9 06:44
This week's points
Japanese stocks are likely to rise heavily this week. Both the Japanese and US stock marketsIt's in the high price rangeUS inflationYaEconomic trendsIt's easy for buyers to be in a reserved mood to spread in an attempt to discern. half side,Domestic corporate performance is strongSo, lower prices are also limited.
This weekThe US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the biggest focus. Depending on the details of the index, early interest rate cut observations by the US Federal Reserve will retreat, and there is a possibility that price movements will be unstable. However, expectations for a soft landing in the US economy are growing, and expectations for inflation to calm down are also strong. US stocks are slightly higher than market expectationsIt won't collapse in a big way, to Japanese stocksThe impact is also limitedIt's going to be. Also, Japanese stocks cannot be said to be overvalued in terms of valuation, and performance is strong.The strength of the medium-term trend remains unchanged. On the other hand, there are concerns that the Fed's interest rate cut observations will retreat if expectations are greatly exceeded, and there is a risk of stock price adjustments led by US stocks. In addition, there are retail sales for January and the US PPI (Producer Price Index) for January. Results receivedTrends in long-term US interest ratesIt seems that you will be worried.
The dollar and yen are expected to rise this week. Market attention is concentrated on the US CPI. If the results are stronger than market expectations, the factoring in interest rate cuts will recede furtherThere is a high probability that it will exceed the milestone of 150 yen. Also, even if the Bank of Japan steps to normalize monetary easing measures, it seems that it will maintain a cautious stance on tightening,It is becoming easier to sell yen from the view that the Japan-US interest rate difference will continue for the time being. However, if it is placed in the 150 yen range, yen buying intervention by the Japanese government and the Bank of Japan is wary, and there is a possibility that the dollar yen exchange rate will stall. Also, it seems that dollar buying will slow down even when the US economic indicators to be announced this week fall below market expectations.
Also,This week's financial results announcement will be the final stageBut at the beginning of the week $Tokyo Electron(8035.JP)$In addition to digesting the financial results of $Japan Tobacco(2914.JP)$Ya $Sony Group(6758.JP)$ $Rakuten Group(4755.JP)$etc. are planned.
At the footUnipolar concentration on semiconductor-related stocks continuesbutFuture focusIs the 15th of this week $Applied Materials(AMAT.US)$, and the one on the 21st, which is a big favorite $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Financial results have been announced. From now on”Semiconductor stock color continues as a long-term trendAlthough it seems like” (market participants), in the near future, events involving semiconductorsThe peak out is getting closerIt can also be seen. graduallyA scene where the details of market search are also moving towards decentralizationMaybe we should also anticipate it.
This week's financial results and economic calendar (2/12 to 2/16) pay attention to the final round of financial results and US CPI! Is the AI market going to “...
Last week's market price points
1. The Nikkei Average continued to rise, leading to 37,000 yen for the first time in 34 years, led by large stocks
2. NVIDIA updates high every day Wall Street raises target stock price to $800
3. Toyota updates the highest price and the last “sell” recommendation disappears
4. British Arm temporarily rises over 60% in response to financial results AI boom is still in its early stages and CEO
5. SoftBank G rose drastically, and the AI market began to show the appearance of “Act 2” due to financial results and strong British Arm stocks
6. Bank of Japan Governor Ueda reaffirms views similar to Deputy Governor Uchida that “will be accommodative for the time being” even after negative interest rates are lifted
The Nikkei Average continued to rise to 36,897.42 yen in the Tokyo Stock Exchange last week, which was 739.4 yen (2.04%) higher than the previous weekend.The boom in individual shopping continuesToyota, which announced the upward revision, is a Japanese companyThe total market value exceeded 50 trillion yen for the first timethat's it.Softbank GYaLarge semiconductor stockswas bought strongly, and the Nikkei Average was on the 9thExceed the milestone of 37,000 yenit's here.
$Toyota Motor(7203.JP)$Although sales volume forecasts for the full year have recently been lowered due to certification fraud issues at subsidiaries such as Daihatsu Motor, etc.There doesn't seem to be a big impact on business results. On the 6th, the earnings forecast for the current fiscal year was raised and stock prices rose rapidly, and the total market value exceeded 50 trillion yen for the first time for a Japanese company. US by car manufacturer in dollar terms $Tesla(TSLA.US)$The difference has shrunk to around 220 billion dollars. At this pointTesla stock slumpYaElectric vehicle (EV) decelerationIn response, it was also pointed out that funds were flowing into Toyota, which has an advantage in hybrid vehicles (HVs). by analystsTarget stock price increases continueThe only remaining “sell” recommendation in investment decisions has disappeared
On the 8th, in response to the fact that Vice Governor Uchida showed an attitude of maintaining an accommodative financial environment even after negative interest rates were lifted, yen sales intensified and dollar yenIt rose to 149.48 yen at one pointIt hit a high price since the end of November last year. On the 9th, Bank of Japan Governor Ueda once again expressed his view that “there is a high possibility that an accommodative financial environment will continue.”
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$The upward trend continued last week,New all-time highdidGoldman Sachs anticipates an increase in earnings due to the AI boom, and NVIDIA's target stock priceRaised from $625 to $800Continued investment in generative AI infrastructure by leading cloud service providersExpanding customer profilesMultiple new product cyclesDue toUntil early 2025It was pointed out that revenue from data center products has consistently increased.
Under the umbrella of SoftBank G $Arm Holdings(ARM.US)$Received settlementOver 60% increase at one point. The fact that it showed an unexpectedly bullish outlook due to the tailwind surrounding AI was well received. CEO Rene HaasAI is creating extraordinary opportunitiesandThe boom is still in its early stagesI said it. As arms are bought due to demand involving generative AI $SoftBank Group(9984.JP)$was re-evaluated as a semiconductor-related stock, and on the 8th to 9th,Over 20% increaseThenIt boosted the Nikkei Average. Also, the fourth quarter financial results showed an increase in sales due to growing demand for AI-related services $Palantir(PLTR.US)$is on the 6th,Over 30% increaseI did it. According to the Nihon Keizai Shimbun, it started in 2023The AI market has begun to show the appearance of “Act 2”. “A situation similar to when attention was drawn to AI last year is happening. There are aspects that are being bought with anticipation,Actual performance growth was confirmed in financial results, and stock appreciation accompanied by actual conditions“It has become,” said Yoshinori Shigemi, macro strategist of Fidelity Asset Management. If “Act 1” of the AI market is a purchase ahead of expectations represented by NVIDIA's rapid rise, then “Act 2” this time is accompanied by the reality of good financial results, and the details are different.
Source: MINKABU, Bloomberg, investing, Trader's Web, WelsAdvisor, Reuters
ー MooMoo News Sherry
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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