NVDA
NVIDIA
-- 108.380 TSLA
Tesla
-- 259.160 PLTR
Palantir
-- 84.400 AMZN
Amazon
-- 190.260 AAPL
Apple
-- 222.130 This week's earnings and economic calendar (11/11~11/15) Attention on USA CPI! How long will the 'Trump whirlwind' frenzy in US stocks last?
This week, the Tokyo stock market is expected to see a give-and-take movement. After passing through important events such as the US presidential election and the US FOMC, proactive movements are likely to be limited in the absence of significant catalysts. However, this week,Approximately 1400 earnings reports are scheduled for this week, with particular attention on companies such asand $Tokyo Electron (8035.JP)$garnering market attention with their earnings reports. $SoftBank Group (9984.JP)$、 $Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306.JP)$Earnings reports from Tokyo Electron, which deals with the same semiconductor manufacturing equipment as $ASML Holding (ASML.US)$are being closely watched as a litmus test for the direction of semiconductor stocks. There are voices in the market saying, "Amid concerns of slowing demand from China, attention is focused on whether they can maintain a double-digit growth outlook."
Major Japanese bank stocks such as Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, and Mizuho Financial Group have been supporting the rise of Japanese stocks since the beginning of the year.institutions, therefore, are crucial for the rise of Japanese stocks since the beginning of the year,Hence,The earnings reports of the three major banks may further boost the overall stock market. There is.
The U.S. stock market is also expected to show a strong performance. With the three key U.S. indices hitting record highs, investors' expectations are rising. Following Trump's election victory, Scott Rubner, an expert at Goldman Sachs, suggests that the year-end rally in U.S. stocks will begin on November 6th.The year-end rally in the U.S. stock market is expected to start on November 6th.and a psychological fear of missing out (FOMO) is expected to spread among institutional investors. According to Rubner, the average S&P 500 return from November 5th to December 31st in election years since 1928 has been.Further, the average S&P 500 return from November 5th to December 31st in election years since 1928 was3.38%.
今週は、米消費者物価指数（CPI）やProducer Price Index (PPI)、USA retail revenueImportant economic indicators, such as these, are scheduled to be released. Particularly, with Mr. Trump's victory,Inflationary pressures are increasing.Due to the increased pressure on interest rates, there is a potential focus on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the future.In addition, with the FOMC deciding on a 0.25% rate cut last week, attention is focused on how the market's expectations for further rate cuts may change in light of the US CPI results. Additionally, there have been successive corporate earnings reports. $Cisco (CSCO.US)$and $Applied Materials (AMAT.US)$、 $Disney (DIS.US)$、 $Home Depot (HD.US)$major companies such as
In this week's foreign exchange market, it is expected that the USD/JPY will show a firm trend. Due to the re-emergence of former President Trump and the inflation expectations, there is a possibility of the dollar continuing to strengthen. However, there may be reluctance to actively sell the yen due to caution about intervention by the Japanese monetary authorities. Depending on the results of this week's US CPI and PPI, there is also a possibility of significant movements in the USD/JPY.
1. The Nikkei Average extends gains for the second week, rising by four digits in anticipation of Trump Rally.
2. The arrival of 'Trump 2.0' brings a wind of change to the world! The stock market is boiling.
3. The FRB lowers interest rates as expected, maintaining a hawkish stance.
4. Bitcoin reaches $0.076 million under the Trump administration's favor.
5. NVIDIA leaps to become the world's largest company! Surpassing Apple's growth trajectory.
6. Super Micro faces the risk of delisting from the S&P 500! Concerns about sharp stock price drops and delisting.
Last week, former US President Trump made a strong comeback to the White House, not only in the United States but also in various industries around the world.The atmosphere of 'big changes are coming' is beginning to prevail.In the Tokyo stock market last week, the Nikkei average continued to rise for the second consecutive week, closing at 9500.37 million yen, up 1446.7 yen (3.8%) from the previous week. In the US stock market, following President-elect Trump's victory, the market has been rising since Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) in the USas expected, cut the interest rate by 0.25 pointsas expected, cut the interest rate by 0.25 pointsanalysts perceive that the outlook for further FRB rate cuts has become more opaque than the week before the electionanalysts perceive that the outlook for further FRB rate cuts has become more opaque than the week before the election
the reaction to Mr. Trump's presidential election victory was positive on Wall Street, especially on Wednesday,
特に水曜日、The stock market surged across the board.Stock prices were already trading at record highs, so they recorded many significant milestones.Recorded numerous major milestones.The Dow Jones and S&P 500 have recorded significant increases since November 2022. The Nasdaq Composite saw a substantial increase since February this year. The Russell 2000 recorded a significant increase since November 2023. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$、 $Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.US)$、 $Goldman Sachs (GS.US)$Bank stocks, including etc., recorded the largest increase among S&P companies with a market capitalization of over 100 billion dollars.Companies with a market capitalization of over 100 billion dollars in the S&P index, such as bank stocks, recorded the largest increase.The stock prices of each companyhave risen by at least 11%.Among the hot stocks that have reached all-time highs are Goldman and $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$が含まれる。
one of the significant beneficiaries of Trump's victory. $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$Last week,surpassed $0.07 million6000, reaching an all-time high, and Bitcoin isupdating its all-time high.Excluding Meta, it has become the 9th largest asset in the world by market capitalization.In the market, Mr. Trump has advocated for making the USA a 'bitcoin superpower' and is implementing regulatory easing to promote the development of the cryptocurrency industry.Mr. Trump's second term would be more advantageous for the cryptocurrency industry.It is considered.
In response to this,US bonds were sold off sharply, and the 30-year bond yield recorded the largest increase in the past 2 years. This is because traders have factored in the trade and deficit policies of Mr. Trump's second term.Gold prices also fell this week.The gold market also fell last weekした。シティは、米大統領選後、金は短期的には圧力に直面するかもしれないが、金の構造的な強気相場はまだ強固であり、Buy on dips.を勧めており、そして今後6ヶ月で1オンスあたり3000ドルに達すると予想している。一方、アナリストは金の長期的な最大のリスクはＡＩであるThe bullish market for gold could come to an end, similar to the end of the information technology revolution in the 1990s, if the United States succeeds in industrial reconstruction through AI, significantly improving total factor productivity, easing the pressure of inflation and fiscal deficits, and strengthening the credibility of the US dollar.
Last week, the Federal Reserve Bank (FRB) cut interest rates as expected, but announced a hawkish stance.
In this meeting's statement, it was reconfirmed that the risks of employment and inflation are broadly balanced,The wording 'we are more confident that inflation will sustainably move towards 2%' was removed,and a new assessment that the labor market conditions have eased was added. According to analysts,it may suggest the possibility of not ruling out a halt to the rate cuts in December.There is a possibility that it suggests. Wall Street's major banks mentioned that further volatility is added to the outlook for rate cuts following last week's election, which could significantly influence the pace and magnitude of rate cuts.
JP Morgan warned that the US Federal Reserve may stop its easing cycle as early as December, due to the Trump administration's policies expanding fiscal deficits, leading to a potential increase in inflation prompting the Federal Reserve to temporarily pause rate cuts.
About hot stocks
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Last week, $Apple (AAPL.US)$surpassing and became the world's largest company. NVIDIA, on Friday this week, Nvidia announced last Friday, $Intel (INTC.US)$the toro $Berkshire Hathaway-A (BRK.A.US)$announced a significant sale of Apple shares,
According to FactSet data, Apple's financial performance still significantly surpasses Nvidia.Expected revenue is 397 billion dollars, net profit is 98 billion dollars, far exceeding Nvidia's revenue of 120 billion dollars and net profit of 64 billion dollars. However, analysts expect Nvidia's growth trajectory to continue.growth trajectory to continue.and in 2026, the projected net profit of 122 billion dollars is approaching Apple's 124 billion dollars.
$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$disappointed investors as the Q1 earnings released on the 5th fell short of expectations, causing a sharp decline of over 78% since hitting an all-time high in March.78% over the dash.Investors are concerned whether the company will be delisted from Nasdaq and removed from the S&P500 index.delisted from Nasdaq and removed from the S&P500 index.and beginning to have concerns.
According to Bloomberg's Jin Ho, if SMCI is delisted from the Nasdaq, there is a possibility of being excluded from the S&P 500 index. As a result, fund management companies may be forced to sell their SMCI shares. Currently, about 24% of SMCI's shares are held by passive funds, and 8% are held by funds related to the S&P 500.
The same stock posted gains last week, was downgraded in target stock prices by several investment banks.JP Morgan downgraded the rating to 'underweight', while Mizuho Securities temporarily suspended the rating due to insufficient financial information.
In other notable earnings reports,the recovery in the smartphone market is good, $Qualcomm (QCOM.US)$with revenue increasing by more than 30% in the previous quarter and guidance for this quarterThey also greatly exceeded expectations.On the other hand, the semiconductor design $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$also announced its earnings for the July-September quarter, surpassing both profit per share and revenue estimates, but provided guidance below expectations for the October-December quarter. This indicated the possibility of the smartphone market recovery casting a shadow on the growth of AI.
Source: MINKABU, Bloomberg, investing, Yahoo Finance, Schwab
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
Read more
Comment
Sign in to post a comment
181445492 : ~That's ridiculous!
.
朴智星 : What day's earnings report