Pay attention to the number of new initial unemployment insurance claims 🙄
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$
TLT seems to be stalling around $93.
The most active day next week is likely to be Thursday.
Two economic indicators to be released at 9:30 pm.
→ US retail revenue
→ Initial jobless insurance claims
Current situation passing through US employment statistics and US CPI
The most important indicator seems to be US retail revenue
Initial jobless insurance claims
The volatility is large because it is announced every week.
It doesn't usually attract much attention.
Analysts say that the unexpected worsening of the number of new unemployment insurance claims on the 10th offset the interest rate hike due to the higher-than-expected CPI in the US.
Will the temporary deterioration due to the hurricane be reflected in next week's announcement?
Large investors in the bond market are interested in knowing this.
I believe that the significant movement at 21:30 next Thursday when the answer will be revealed requires attention 🤔
But don't rush.
Continuing next week with negative trends (increase in unemployment insurance claims).
↓
The association implies that the unemployment rate in the US employment statistics is also rising.
↓
Interest rates are falling and bond prices are high.
or
Next week will bring good results (reduced unemployment insurance claims).
↓
Was the previous bad result temporary?
↓
Rising interest rates and bond volatility.
It's still too early to determine, only a very small number of strong ones are making a profit by taking profits. It's extremely difficult to re-enter, as everyone knows! And I feel once again that this shake-up is disrupting the principle of cutting losses and letting profits run. 😅
TLT seems to be stalling around $93.
The most active day next week is likely to be Thursday.
Two economic indicators to be released at 9:30 pm.
→ US retail revenue
→ Initial jobless insurance claims
Current situation passing through US employment statistics and US CPI
The most important indicator seems to be US retail revenue
Initial jobless insurance claims
The volatility is large because it is announced every week.
It doesn't usually attract much attention.
Analysts say that the unexpected worsening of the number of new unemployment insurance claims on the 10th offset the interest rate hike due to the higher-than-expected CPI in the US.
Will the temporary deterioration due to the hurricane be reflected in next week's announcement?
Large investors in the bond market are interested in knowing this.
I believe that the significant movement at 21:30 next Thursday when the answer will be revealed requires attention 🤔
But don't rush.
Continuing next week with negative trends (increase in unemployment insurance claims).
↓
The association implies that the unemployment rate in the US employment statistics is also rising.
↓
Interest rates are falling and bond prices are high.
or
Next week will bring good results (reduced unemployment insurance claims).
↓
Was the previous bad result temporary?
↓
Rising interest rates and bond volatility.
It's still too early to determine, only a very small number of strong ones are making a profit by taking profits. It's extremely difficult to re-enter, as everyone knows! And I feel once again that this shake-up is disrupting the principle of cutting losses and letting profits run. 😅
Invest at your own risk and do your best! 💪
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ぴるさん : The recent rise in the yield of 10-year US bonds is short-term and seems to be linked to the rise in crude oil prices, right? Employment statistics are the same, but considering that crude oil prices themselves are currently taking a breather, it seems that the 10-year bond yield may also start to stagnate or decline similarly, but who knows.![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
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投資家 t9m OP : The Federal Reserve Board (FRB) has shifted its focus to employment indicators such as the unemployment rate! Recently, both employment and inflation have been exceeding expectations, so it is necessary to also monitor crude oil prices.
新div : Although the employment statistics have improved, the content is lacking as there is an increase in government employees. Hmm... What will happen after the election? Since government employees are not regular workers, it is necessary to see if the period will be indefinite. The Biden administration artificially inflates employment through immigrants and government employment, and the 0.50% interest rate cut, is it too much!!! Or is it not enough? At the moment, it is unknown. Savings from the Corona pandemic will soon be depleted, I'm not sure if it will run out or not, but with such high consumerism, isn't it risky to take out loans recklessly? With the happiness of interest rate cuts, if consumption increases and debts increase, wouldn't loan repayments be very difficult? Unexpected events happening, that's what brings shock and uncertainty.
投資家 t9m OP 新div : I agree