Presidential election television debate.
Will bitcoin, semiconductors, and the Nikkei average have a major impact on the future with this victory or defeat?![]()
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ぴるさん OP : Trump victory
Bitcoin ↑↑↑ (virtual currency preferential policy)
Semiconductors ↓ (concerns about Taiwan)
Nikkei Average ↓↓ (weak dollar policy)
Harris victory
Bitcoin ↓↓↓ (virtual currency regulation policy?)
Semiconductors ↑ (dispelling concerns about Taiwan)
Nikkei Average -(dispelling weak dollar policy)
I'm thinking about it, what do you think?
ぴるさん OP : I definitely want to hear everyone's opinions ♪
ジョモりん : I think semiconductors will be correlated with Bitcoin, and since I have no short-term thoughts in the medium to long term, both are superior regardless of the president, the dollar yen corrects in the direction of dollar appreciation from a state of recession, US stocks are on the upper line with no or software, and Nikkei is on the upper line due to predictions of prolonged yen depreciation![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
Regarding the recession, it is not reverse yield cancellation for 10-year bonds and 2-year bonds, but reverse yield cancellation for 10-year bonds and 3-month bonds that the Fed places importance on, so even if it happens, it is determined that there is still a long way to go
StreetLife : No matter which way it goes, bitcoin seems to have been on the rise since around October. Many people are becoming pessimistic, and it's about time to SELL IN MAY (sell in May and return in the second week of September).
StreetLife ジョモりん : 逆イールドの解消のことですか？？
ジョモりん StreetLife : Um, I'm sorry. Was there any explanation missing somewhere?
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StreetLife ジョモりん : No, it has been in a yield inversion for 3 months and 10 years, right? So it's not about becoming a yield inversion, but about resolving the yield inversion? Is that what you mean?
ぴるさん OP StreetLife : Is it likely that the yield curve inversion will be resolved later?
ジョモりん StreetLife : That's right![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
I'm looking at this with emphasis, and since it hasn't been resolved yet, I'm wondering if the recession is still ahead![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
I forgot to add resolution... sorry
StreetLife : Oh, I see! I understand.![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
I hope we can get through without an economic downturn, but it's a critical situation. With the presidential election coming up, do you think the economic downturn will happen next year instead of this year?
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