Pundits predict recession is coming based on the US LEI down...

old Micheal wrote a post · Sep 28, 2023 16:50

Pundits predict recession is coming based on the US LEI downtrend signal.
LEI is good leading indicator for US manufacturing, but manufacturing comprises about only 11% of US GDP, whereas ~70% of is about services.
Wrong perspective, wrong diagnosis, wrong prediction.

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old Micheal

Sharing some important charts

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