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Tesla Q2 deliveries dropped Y/Y while stock flies
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Reflect on this empty position and follow-up strategy.

Looking back, my "godly" move to sell all tsla yesterday was truly unmatched. Although I entered at 180 and made over 10% profit, I also anticipated a rise when selling, but did not expect it to rise so much. Although the delivery data is not too bad, it is still considerably lower than last year. Alas, unexpectedly empty-handed by 10% in just one day.
However, anyway, thinking back, why was I so confident when entering at 180, but so cautious yesterday?
There are multiple reasons. I think the main reason is that I earned a lot from nvda and tsm a while back, and after selling nvda near the peak, I boldly bought tsla, which was also a stroke of luck. So I believe that one cannot always be lucky, luck also needs to adjust sometimes.
This just proves it, luck indeed had to adjust.
But it's also good, maintaining a calm mindset and letting luck adjust, perhaps it will be beneficial for future gains.
Regarding the buy strategy for tsla:
This afternoon near 226, that is when the intraday chart retraced to the ma5, bought a little bit back.
For the follow-up, continuing to push higher like this is definitely not sustainable. Analyze a few possibilities:
1. Very strong, sideways near the current price for a few days before another rally.
2. Stable and steady, retracement without falling below 200, then continue to advance vigorously. Possible retracement levels include near 218, 206.
3. Continue to rise rapidly, surging to around 260 every day, and then experience a drastic drop from the high point, trapping the chasing investors. After that, it will fluctuate between 200-230. Once the chasing investors have taken their losses, it will continue to rise. This is the most damaging approach.
4. Under some bearish conditions, it falls below 200 again and stays below 200. The probability of this happening is very small, so we won't consider countermeasures for now.
In any case, there is a high probability of reaching 260 and above.
My current strategy: For scenarios 1 and 2, I buy a little bit every one or two days, similar to a regular savings plan. For scenario 3, I can only hold my positions and wait for the subsequent pullback.
Compared to the daily chart, I am currently more interested in the weekly chart of tsla. The weekly chart has currently broken through multiple resistances and is expected to show a bullish trend. If it can steadily rise on the weekly chart, that would be really bullish and have the potential to break through 400 and reach a new all-time high. However, in order for the weekly chart to rise steadily, the daily chart really can't move so fast. A slow and steady bull market is the rhythm of the US stock market, and long bullish trends often occur during bear markets.
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本人散户,闲钱投资,名字为系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐,不是投资建议。此账号为本人唯一社媒平台。
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