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Seizing the Opportunity in Surging Financial Stocks

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Moomoo News Global wrote a column · Sep 6 08:33
Financial stocks were once not favored by many investors, but this seems to be changing. The S&P Financial Select Sector Index has risen about 21% so far this year, outperforming the $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$'s gain of 15.73%.
Seizing the Opportunity in Surging Financial Stocks
Source: S&P Global
According to Dave Donabedian, the CIO of CIBC’s private wealth division, “sticky money is flowing into the sector for the first time in a long time.” The reasons for this, he says, include investors looking to branch out from the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks, and because many bank stocks pay juicy dividends.
Although Buffett recently reduced his stake in $Bank of America (BAC.US)$, casting a negative sentiment on the sector, several insurance stocks including $Progressive (PGR.US)$, $Allstate (ALL.US)$, $Aflac Inc (AFL.US)$, and $Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG.US)$ have reached all-time highs.
Seizing the Opportunity in Surging Financial Stocks
Seizing the Opportunity in Surging Financial Stocks
Premium growth drives strong growth in the insurance industry
So far this year, $Progressive (PGR.US)$’s shares have climbed an impressive 60.37%. The company announced strong second quarter results, primarily benefiting from two main tailwinds, as stronger pricing is boosting underwriting results and higher interest rates are producing stronger investment income. The Progressive’s Q2 earnings per share of $2.65 beat the analyst consensus estimate of $1.99. The bottom line improved more than five times year over year.
Additionally, supported by rising wages and a strong U.S. labor market, there is robust demand for personal auto insurance. All told, Progressive wrote a total of $17.90 billion in premiums, up 22% from last year.
Similarly, benefiting from continually increasing premiums and investment returns, both $Allstate (ALL.US)$ and $Aflac Inc (AFL.US)$ have announced better-than-expected earnings for the second quarter, with their shares increasing by 37.87% and 36.2% respectively so far this year.
The Swiss Re Institute forecasts that the combination of increased premiums and increased investment income will boost profitability in the life insurance industry in 2024, with the operating results across eight major global markets increasing 15% for the year.
U.S. Bank Stocks Surge Amid Rotation from Tech Stocks
So far this year, $JPMorgan (JPM.US)$ has risen by 33%, and $Goldman Sachs (GS.US)$' stock price has increased by nearly 30%, both significantly outperforming the approximately 16% gain of the S&P 500 Index.
According to Capital Economics, bank stocks are on a tear in July, and it’s a rally with legs beyond the recent rotation out of Big Tech stocks.
“There are a number of factors supporting the recent rally in U.S. bank shares, not just the rotation out of tech stocks,” said James Reilly, markets economist at Capital Economics, in a note. “While we doubt this rotation is here to stay, we think bank stocks will recover further ground on other ‘non-tech’ sectors.”
Shares of exchange-traded funds that hold bank stocks have posted big gains so far this month, exceeding the broader U.S. stock market’s climb. Bank shares have gotten a lift from a “successful” second-quarter earnings season, while the recent steepening of the U.S. Treasury market’s yield curve “probably strengthened their appeal,” according to Reilly.
Moreover, Financial services companies $KKR & Co (KKR.US)$, $American Express (AXP.US)$, and $Fiserv (FI.US)$ have also delivered impressive performance, with their stocks rising 42.74%, 35.63%, and 30.7% respectively so far this year.
Source: Market Watch, Morningstar, Yahoo Finance
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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