UOB Global Economics and Markets Research and RHB have kept their 2024 growth forecasts for Singapore unchanged following a 2.7% year-on-year GDP growth in the first quarter of 2024. UOB expects GDP to increase 2.9% for the entire year, at the higher end of the 1% to 3% official estimate by the Ministry of Trade and Industry, while RHB's estimate remains at 2.5% for the year. The banks noted that tight external financial conditions and high interest rates do not bode well for export-oriented Singapore, particularly in its manufacturing, wholesale trade, transportation, and storage sectors. The city-state's expansion will also depend on the recovery of China, and any downturn or other risks in the mainland could hurt Singapore's externally-oriented industries.