The rapid rise in one week! What is the future development?
Technical analysis (rating: 3.16/5)
- From 9/9 to 13, breakthroughs in "① Bottom line of the medium-term downward range following the halving period (around 57000)" and "② Resistance line of the short-term downward trend that has continued since July". In the future, the resistance lines of ① and ② will become support lines.
- From the "① Panic selling after Labor Day on 9/3", consolidation → change to downward trend. However, due to the strength of inflationary indicators such as the PCE deflator and Mr. Jensen's speech regarding Nvidia-related issues, it surpassed the level of ① and changed to a downward → upward trend. In the future, the focus will be on whether it can update the "concerns about trend reversal on 7/28 and 8/26" that failed to update the high.
- It is an unstable trend, but there is a high possibility of a rapid change from a downward trend to an upward trend. Also, appropriate levels regarding concerns about being overbought.・米半導体大手エヌビディア(NVDA.O), opens new tabは２８日、第３・四半期（８─１０月）の売上高が３２５億ドル（プラスマイナス２％）になると予想した。市場予想（３１７億７０００万ドル）とほぼ一致する水準にとどまり、株価は引け後の時間外取引で６％下落した。
☆ Candlestick chart (rating: 3/5)
☆ Candlestick chart (rating: 3/5)
- Large bullish candlestick (9/9) → Long bearish candlestick with lower shadow (9/11) → Continue to fluctuate with large bullish candlestick (9/13)
The temporary decline in the United States presidential debate caused a short-term decline on September 11, but the upside continues to suggest.
☆Candlestick Pattern (Rating: 4/5)
- From September 9th to 13th, breakthroughs in "①the bottom line of the mid-term downtrend range continuing from the half-life (around 57,000)" and "②the resistance line of the short-term downtrend trend continuing from July".
In the future, the resistance lines of "①" and "②" will become support lines.
☆Dow Theory (Rating: 3.5/5)
•From the "①panic sell-off after Labor Day on September 3", it entered a consolidation phase and then changed to a downtrend. However, due to the strength of inflation indicators such as PCE deflator and Mr. Jensen's speech on Nvidia-related matters, it fell below the level of "①" and changed to an uptrend.
In the future, the focus will be on whether it can update the "concerns about failed high price updates on 7/28 and 8/26".
Moving average line × volume moving average line (Rating: 2.5/5).
- Moving average line: Candlestick chart is rising up to the 5/21/50-day moving average line. Golden cross occurred at the 5/21-day moving average line, but dead cross occurred at the 50/75-day moving average line.(4/5)
- Volume moving average line: Dead cross occurred at the short-term/medium-term moving average line.(1/5)
In the medium term, the perspective is upward, but it seems to be taking a break.
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo × DMI (Rating: 2.5/5).
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo: The three lines are in reversal. There is still no conversion signal.(1/5)
DMI: Cross with PDI/MDI/ADX. PDI is likely to cross over MDI. Rapid reversal signal.(4/5)
It's an unstable trend, but there is a high possibility of a rapid move upwards.There is a high chance of a rapid upward movement.
☆BOLL×RSI×MACD (Rating: 3.5/5)
BOLL: -2σ (9/9) → +1σ (9/15) rising. However, it is still a long way to +2σ.(Rating: 3.5/5)
- RSI: It has risen from 46 (9/9) to 54 (9/15). The level of being overbought is still at an appropriate level.(3/5)
- MACD: A golden cross occurred on 9/12. It continues to rise.(4/5)
Is it suggesting a trend reversal from a decline to an uptrend?Also, the appropriate level of being overbought.
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