Top NewsFour reasons why the historic interest rate hike cannot save the yen, echoing the low-altitude flight of interest rates and volatility.Despite the Bank of Japan's first interest rate hike in 17 years, the exchange rate of the yen has not rebounded as much as government and Bank of Japan officials who want to reduce the risk of imported inflation had hoped. Rather, many strategists expect a continued trend of yen depreciation in the near term, citing four reasons.
Yen exchange rate, 140-150 yen by year-end - Mr. Kadota of State Street BankAs of the beginning of 2024, the depreciation of the yen has been accelerating. Currently, it is hovering around 151 yen to the dollar, marking a low level not seen in about 34 years. Regarding the outlook for the yen exchange rate for the year, we interviewed Kazushige Kaita, Director of the Financial Markets Department at State Street Bank Tokyo Branch.
The Bank of Japan's full-scale normalization is expected to be after the fiscal year 2025, with a possible rate hike this autumn to the extent of "a jab," according to Mr. Sakurai.Mr. Sakurai, a former Bank of Japan Policy Board member, mentioned that if the sustainability of positive changes in the Japanese economy is confirmed, the Bank of Japan may conduct an additional rate hike to 0.25% as early as October. He also indicated that full-scale normalization is expected to be after 2025, and depending on economic and price developments, an acceleration in the pace of rate hikes could be anticipated.
International settlements using digital currency - Immediate payments experimented by central banks of Japan, the U.S., Europe, and ChinaCentral banks and private banks from Japan, the U.S., Europe, and others are embarking on experimental verification of international settlements using digital currency. The aim is to enable low-cost immediate settlement of trade payments. Based on the results of the experiments, there is a potential to overhaul the current cross-border settlement mechanisms if settlements using central bank digital currency (CBDC) become practical in the future.
Rakuten Group's dollar bonds, with an issuance size of 300 billion yen, have been determined - Increased demand due to high yield $Rakuten Group (4755.JP)$Decided on the issuance terms for dollar-denominated corporate bonds in the overseas market on the 3rd. According to sources familiar with the matter, due to strong investor demand, the issuance size was considered to be increased from the initially planned 1.250 billion dollars (approximately 303 billion yen) to 2 billion dollars.