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Steel mentor opinions

It has been determined that there is no need to change the stock price forecast in the trend described in the forecast until the end of the year in the post the other day (Steel Mentor's Room), results showing that the non-manufacturing index representing 70% of GDP are not recessionary, and there is a high possibility that CPI will continue to slow down in the future, wage inflation is also on a slowing trend and there is no problem, and geopolitical risks are not viewed as a problem at all by looking at crude oil movements, and employment statistics and unemployment rates are recessionary data However, considering the effects of bad weather such as hurricanes, etc., and considering the possibility that it prospered as a month-long factor in the decline in the number of working days and the unemployment rate, even so, the number of job offers for 1 unemployed person targeted by the Fed is 1.2, and it is still enduring rather than being recessionary, real GDP has exceeded expectations, and private consumption has not fallen to the extent that it still becomes an issue, so I determined that this is also not a recession, and I have large recessionary data on the economy even after August I want to stay bullish as long as it doesn't appear
This is my personal opinion, so just for reference
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  • ジョモりん OP : As an additional note, I also think that the level described in 9 business days for today is impossible, but I hope they move close to what was expected[undefined]

  • 稲ビディア : The non-manufacturing business climate index denied the manufacturing business climate index, but the market will be risk-off until the unemployment rate that triggered the lighting of the Therm Rule is denied in the next employment statistics, so it is said that “watching” is hard[undefined]

  • 稲ビディア : It's a typo for “clever”[undefined]

  • ジョモりん OP 稲ビディア : If there is a recession from now on, stock prices are falling in anticipation, and when there is a recession, interest rate declines and monetary easing have begun, and there is also a possibility that stock prices are entering a recovery period[undefined]

  • 稲ビディア : There is also a view that if the economy recedes from the current Therm rule, the reverse rise in stock prices will start around March next year[undefined]

  • ジョモりん OP 稲ビディア : It is also a fact that the invocation of the Saam Rule during the bull market cycle was often a perfect place to buy, and when it was eventually triggered, stock prices fell into recession and bottomed out, and if the subsequent recession wasn't a big deal, interest rates were cut without a new place to buy, and if you don't consider the possibility that stock prices would rise as they were due to monetary mitigation measures, it would be a loss of opportunity[undefined]

  • ジョモりん OP 稲ビディア : There is no seriousness at all from the current economic data, and I'm looking at the possibility of a soft landing or even no landing at this level; it is expected that interest rate cuts will almost begin in September, and what the economy has endured to this point under long-term high interest rates is that there were savings that increased due to monetary easing after COVID-19, and American companies were highly aware of cost reduction, so we must also look at a different situation than before, and the economic recession has resolved reverse yield I think we can only establish the same trade and outlook as everyone else with simple ideas such as karakuru or that it's dangerous because the Therm Rule came into effect; I think the reason why most people lose in stocks is because they are swept away by public opinion and turn in the direction everyone is facing, I think that if you catch real information and understand the essence, you will be able to make calm judgments, and I only believe in objective data[undefined]

  • 稲ビディア ジョモりん OP : The direction is slightly different from my own, but it was well conveyed that they are investing according to their strong beliefs and my own rules[undefined]Please continue to do your best[undefined]

  • ジョモりん OP 稲ビディア : Sorry for so long... I'm just expressing my thoughts as an individual investor, so please comment again if you have any concerns[undefined]

SOXL、TSLL、マイニング株で中長期でまずは資産1億目指しているものです┏○ペコッ 鋼のメンタルは客観的データに基づくもの
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