The steel mentality is not just an anomaly of the 2000s (seriously).
If we consider the 17-year cycle in the 2000s, the period from 2000 to 2016 was a bearish market cycle. Assuming that the market switched to a bullish cycle in 2016, relying too much on the anomaly of presidential election years since 2000 is based too much on bearish market cycle information. Keeping that in mind, I will share the returns of each month for the S&P 500 in the presidential election years, which I mentioned before in the comments on the 17-year cycle.![]()
Pay attention to the returns of each month in the second half of the 1900s, which was a bullish market cycle based on the 17-year cycle. There were hardly any weak September and October in the presidential election years.![]()
I think people who say that September and October are weak in the presidential election anomaly since the 2000s are thinking too much based on recent data. It is necessary to have a macro perspective based not only on the 2000s, but also on the long-standing history of the USA. ![]()
The majority of modern investors started investing in the 2000s, and I'm sure influencers have not been investing for a long time. While most people have experienced the bearish market in September and October, few people talk about the presidential election anomaly based on the 17-year cycle. Even if I am told to be bearish in September and October, I am not convinced at all by the explanation based only on the 2000s, which has been a long-running period for US stocks. What do you all think?![]()
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SOXL、TSLL、マイニング株で中長期でまずは資産1億目指しているものです┏○ﾍﾟｺｯ
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tm_speedstyle371 : In August, a significant and rare decline occurred, confirming the past rebound in the autumn when it happened once. Thank you for the valuable information.
ジョモりん OP tm_speedstyle371 : No one knows until the results are over, but I feel that it is better to think flexibly so as not to make too many decisions about the anomaly that September to October is weak![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")