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[Examination Memo] Toyota Motor Corporation

The current $Toyota Motor(7203.JP)$The stock price has been hovering around 3,400 yen.

Stock price trends

The current stock price of Toyota Motor Corporation is 3,279 yen. The stock price for the past month has been moving in the range of 3,200 yen to 3,500 yen, and the high price in the past year is 3,540 yen, and the low price is 2,992 yen.

Technical analysis results (MA/RSI)

• Moving Average (MA): The 50-day moving average is 3,357 yen, and the 200-day moving average is 3,387 yen.Short-term downtrendAlthough it can be seen,Stable in the long runI'm doing it.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The current RSI is around 50, which indicates neutrality,I don't see a sense of overheating or being oversold

trading volume

recentTrading volume is on the riseIt's in. In particular, trading volume has increased drastically on the most recent trading day, and it can be seen that market interest is growing.

Order and contract analysis

Buy orders: 32.32%
• Sell orders: 67.68%
The share of sell orders is high, but this may be a short-term adjustment.

Market attention
Interest from the market continues to be high in Toyota Motor Corporation,New technology and EV-related news are attracting attention.

Market news

• Earnings Report:Achieved an increase in sales and profit in the most recent quarterly financial resultsWe are doing it, and our performance is strong.
• Business plan: We are focusing on the development of EVs (electric vehicles) and hybrid vehicles, and progress in the development of all-solid-state batteries has been reported. This is expected to increase earnings in the future.
• Scandal issues: Recently, Toyota temporarily suspended production due to improper engine certification.Production is expected to resumeIt is.

fundamental analysis
• Profitability: Operating margins are above industry average, and profitability is good.
• Competitive environment: Although the presence of competitors (Tesla and start-ups in the EV sector in particular) is a threat, Toyota's strong market share and technical capabilities maintain a competitive advantage.
Chinese automobile manufacturers should be noted in terms of their degree of growth in the EV market, but it is recognized that Toyota has an advantage in HV and FCV technology, reliability/durability, and breadth of product lineups.
• Value chain stability: We have a global supply chain and stable supply system, and value chain stability is high.

Changes in sales and operating profit

Fiscal year sales (100 million yen) Operating profit (100 million yen)
2019 301,000 23,000
2020 292,000 22,000
2021 310,000 25,000
2022 330,000 26,000
2023 340,000 28,000

Overall Rating

Positive factors: increased sales and profits, high praise from the market for new technologies and initiatives in the EV field, strong technical capabilities and a stable value chain. Stabilization of the supply system can also be expected by resolving the production suspension issue.
• Negative Factors: Risk due to competitor growth or changes in the market environment.

conclusions

There is a high possibility that the current stock price of Toyota Motor Corporation will continue to rise in the future. In particular, the outlook is positive in the short and medium to long term, as development of new technologies is expected to advance and competitiveness in the EV market will be strengthened. Furthermore, the supply system has been stabilized by resolving production stoppage issues. Currently, we plan to hold shares
 
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