Stocks on Wall Street got the Bessent blessing, climbing to new all-time highs. Small caps hit a record all time high.
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Stocks on Wall Street got the Bessent blessing, climbing to new all-time highs.
That was the case for the Dow Jones blue-chip index after it rose 0.9%, while the small-cap index, the Russell 2000 $Russell 2000 (LIST20783.US)$ was the showstopper, rising 1.7%. It gapped higher, which is a technical term that suggests newfound buyers are rushing to get their hands on small companies' stocks, believing they’re set for higher ground. Meanwhile, the broader S&P 500 $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ gained 0.2%, which takes this year’s gain to 25%.
So why are stocks charging?
Several reasons. Firstly, they hit higher levels as oil fell 3% with signs of an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, while the US dollar saw its biggest fall in two weeks. Markets really like that Trump tapped Scott Bessent to be Treasury Secretary, one of the most influential roles in US government. Traders are believe Bessent will soften Trump’s aggressive trade plans. That’s why investors are selling out of safe havens such as the US dollar and gold, they are buying into higher-risk assets tied to economic growth. So financials, banks, and industrials were the best-performing sectors overnight, with banking stocks hit new record all time highs. And with US bond yields falling - Equities look even more set for a bull run until year's end, as investors like Bessent's plan to cut the US budget by 3%, boosting GDP to 3%, and encouraging big oil producers to produce an additional 3 million barrels. All that supports the sharemarket and broad buying.
I’ve been saying for some time to expect higher highs for both the US and Aussie markets for the rest of the year with the narrative improving to commodities and industrials. But be mindful of a pull back.
But we saw the Dow Jones hit a technically overbought level as the Russell 2000 index did too. This suggest markets might step lower, but expect dips to be bought and for markets to head higher for the end of the year. Goldman Sachs saying markets could rally up 4% for the rest of the year. But then think about Deutsche Bank’s 7000 target for the next year. That implies a 17% gain from where we are. Regardless of how much markets go up by, this is your wake-up call to be invested.
Today the futures suggest the Aussie market will hit another record and rise 0.35%.
With industrials and financials expected to perform well. While iron ore stocks will probably do well as iron ore futures are up 0.4% and the commodity's price up 15% from the September low and likely to break out and move further above the US$102. This is despite China downgrading GDP growth on Trump trade worries. Bessent may save the day and give China breathing room with tariffs as he urged a phased approach. The iron ore futures are telling us that they aren’t afraid. So keen an eye on BHP $BHP Group Ltd (BHP.US)$ Rio $Rio Tinto (RIO.US)$ and Champion Iron $Champion Iron Ltd (CIA.CA)$
Watch Uranium - the URA ETF is taking a breather. And formed a technical level that suggests it could head lower.
Uranium stocks like Vistra $Vistra Energy (VST.US)$ and Constellation Energy $Constellation Energy (CEG.US)$ which made gains of 10% last week and are some of this year best performers. And now it looks like they’re consolidating and the URA is too and due for profit taking. So watch Paladin Energy $Paladin Energy Ltd (PDN.AU)$ , BOE $Boss Energy Ltd (BOE.AU)$ Deep Yellow $Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL.AU)$ that could come under pressure. But if we do see a pull back, don’t expect the sector to stay down, as the long term narrative is bullish. Russia removed supply from the market with uranium seeing record demand from Google $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ and Amazon $Amazon (AMZN.US)$
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
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