Tesla stock up another 20%?! Will October's Q3 customer deliveries + Robo-Taxis be a new catalyst?
● 2024 Q3 customer deliveries announcement (scheduled for October 2)
● 'RoboTaxi' announcement event (October 10)
● 2024 Q3 financial results announcement (scheduled for October 16)
This week, $Tesla (TSLA.US)$Stocks rose 9%. Long awaited Robo-taxis called "Cybercab"will be announced next month, and in additionThere are high expectations for customer deliveries in the third quarterTherefore, the stock price has risen, offsetting the year-to-date decline and turning positiveSince early August, the company's stock price has sharply recovered, with investors increasingly confident in achieving a soft economic landing, soit has surged more than 20% in the past month。
同社のオプション取引が非常に活発になる傾向。テスラは今、全体のS&P 500オプション取引量の17％を占め、14％の $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$を上回っている。また、ゴールドマン・サックスのアナリストは25日、10月2日のテスラ第3四半期納車台数発表と10日のロボタクシー・イベントを前にテスラコールオプションの購入を推奨is doing.
Based on the timing of previous third-quarter customer deliveries announcements, the market expects Tesla to announce the number of customer deliveries on October 2nd. According to FactSet,Market consensus estimatesSo,Tesla's third-quarter customer deliveries are expected to be 462,000 units, a 6% increase compared to the same period last year.。
TeslaThe second quarter customer deliveries for this quarter were 0.444 million units, exceeding the market's expected 0.439 million units. analystspointed out that the sales surpassing expectations in China and the USA contributedto it.
Barclays analyst estimates approximately 0.47 million units for the third quarter
BarclaysAccording to analyst Dan Ives of Barclays, based on July electric vehicle (EV) sales and August registrations and production data in Europe and China, Tesla's third quartercustomer deliveries are exceeding 0.47 million units, surpassing the market's expected 0.461 million units.。
BarclaysAccording to analyst Dan Ives of Barclays, based on July electric vehicle (EV) sales and August registrations and production data in Europe and China, Tesla's third quartercustomer deliveries are exceeding 0.47 million units, surpassing the market's expected 0.461 million units.。
Mr. Levy also mentioned that the growth in passenger deliveries in the third quarter.Mostly led by China.According to official announcements, Tesla's sales in China strongly recovered in August this year.
●Piper Sandler's analyst Alexander Potter said the customer deliveries in the third quarter in China were the 'best quarter ever'.
Piper Sandleranalyst Alexander PotterApproximately 0.459 million customer deliveries in the third quarter., with an annual total expected to be 1.75 million units. Mr. Potter statedIn China, the third quarter of this year is likely to be Tesla's best quarter ever.Sales in Europe are weak, but the delivery of the electric pickup truck 'Cybertruck' is supporting demand in the USA.pointed out.。
Piper Sandleranalyst Alexander PotterApproximately 0.459 million customer deliveries in the third quarter., with an annual total expected to be 1.75 million units. Mr. Potter statedIn China, the third quarter of this year is likely to be Tesla's best quarter ever.Sales in Europe are weak, but the delivery of the electric pickup truck 'Cybertruck' is supporting demand in the USA.pointed out.。
●Bear expects approximately 0.48 million customer deliveries in the third quarter.
Analyst Ben Kallo of Bear exceeded market estimates in the third quarter of Tesla and expects to reach around 0.48 million customer deliveries.about 0.48 million unitsis expected to reach.
Analyst Ben Kallo of Bear exceeded market estimates in the third quarter of Tesla and expects to reach around 0.48 million customer deliveries.about 0.48 million unitsis expected to reach.
Analysts stated, "Tesla's short-term outlook is attractive. Customer deliveries are believed to be good by analyzing insurance registration data in China, communication with investors, and other third-party data."
●Tesla, third-quarter customer deliveries have the potential to increase by 8% year-on-year according to UBS.
UBS maintained a "sell" rating on Tesla stock with a target price of $197.
UBS maintained a "sell" rating on Tesla stock with a target price of $197.
UBS analysts in a research note are expecting Tesla's third-quarter passenger deliveries to increase by about 8% year-on-year to approximately 0.47 million units. UBS claims that the market is excessive in its expectations for the company's third-quarter passenger deliveries.and emphasized that the deployment of energy storage systems is unstable.The deployment of energy storage systems is unstable and was emphasized.The deployment of energy storage systems is unstable and was emphasized.
Tesla is scheduled to hold a public event for the unveiling of the Cybercab robotaxi on October 10. They plan to announce the progress of self-driving technology and business outlook. In addition, specialized vehicles for the unmanned taxi service are expected to be showcased.It is expected that specialized vehicles for the unmanned taxi service will be showcased to expand the unmanned taxi service.。
Analysts widely view Tesla's growth as dependent on the execution power of AI projects, especiallyrobo-taxis and humanoid robot 'Optimus,'and are considered to be the reason the stock price is supported by sluggish sales of electric vehicles (EVs).
According to the analysis,the announcement of robo-taxis will be a significant turning point for Tesla。the company is shifting its focus from traditional automobile manufacturing to self-driving technologyand part of that support includes supercomputer systems."Dojo" dependency.is doing.
Mask's CEO entrusts the future of the company's ability to solve self-driving car issues, and hopes to expand the advanced driving support system "FSD (Full Self-Driving)" to Europe and China by 2025 once approval is obtained from regulators.
On the 23rd, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney reiterated his "hold" rating on Tesla stock and a target price of $230.Details provided by Mr. Musk at the autonomous taxi unveiling are deemed very important.した。
"The main areas of interest for investors include the schedule until robot taxis start commercial operation (such as technical preparations, operation/regulations, etc.) and the outlook for the business (including Tesla's cost structure compared to other competitors)."
In addition to robotaxis, investors are focusing on this event.whether Tesla will announce a "more affordable new model"is also of interest. This new model may be on the agenda for next month's robotaxi announcement event.
Regarding this, Mr. Delaney noted, "Whether Tesla will provide more details or announce a new low-cost car at the event on October 10 is a topic that is often discussed among investors."
Dan Levy, an analyst at Barclays, indicated that if Tesla's stock price rises after the robotaxi announcement, there is a potential for further increase in the share price."Analysts at Barclays, Mr. Dan Levy, pointed out that if Tesla's stock price rises after the robotaxi announcement, there is a possibility of further increase in the stock price."pointed out.
"The individual stated that it would indicate that concerns regarding fundamentals have been resolved at least for now."
UBS, however, is not surprised to see strong relative movements in stock prices towards robottaxis, but is unsure whether tesla will meet expectations and maintain momentum even after the event.They do not have much confidence in maintaining momentum even after the event.as stated.
On the other hand, Morgan Stanley warned that Tesla's robottaxi event scheduled for October 10th may not meet investors' high expectations.There is a possibility that it might not meet the high expectations of investors.Morgan Stanley, known for its bullish outlook on Tesla, issued a warning.
Adam Jonas, an analyst at Morgan Stanley known for his bullish stance on Tesla, stated that besides the demo of FSD V12.5 and test rides of the first generation 'cybertaxis', it is unclear what else is being prepared.
Sources: Thefly, SeekingAlpha, Forbes, Bloomberg, Corporate Quarterly Report
This article uses auto-translation in some sections
- moomoo News Zoe
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Chibou :
Robot
taxi 
? If the country does not have proper laws, it will be caught up in 2.3 years. In China, all the land belongs to the country, so they might buy it. As the old buildings in the European index may not have immediate sales, it might be a good idea to buy now. 
If Mr. Trump becomes president, China's sales may also be affected 
The American presidential election is not over yet 
つぎちゃん0520 Chibou : Se