That's right, that's it, that's it
I didn't understand the relationship between long and short interest rates 🤮🤮🤮
I think there is a big possibility that TMF will make a profit in a scenario where the accuracy is quite low.
As a prerequisite, if there is no sequential yield, there is no point in buying long-term bonds in the first place.
Short-term corporate bonds are currently selling better.
So what happens to sequential yield? What do you think, guys. Don't you think it's long? If there is a possibility that it will happen, I think it would be different if there was enough recession to the point of running off an optimistic market and suddenly falling off a cliff.
Now that we're almost running on the tiger route, when it comes to tax cuts or tariff measures, they all increase inflationary pressure. There is a risk that the rank of US bonds will drop and a further risk premium will be required for long-term bonds, and they will rise.
I have an acquisition unit price of 58 and I have always had unrealized losses, but the accuracy of a scenario where profit can be guaranteed is low, and that period should not be long.
If you keep it for a long time, it will decrease, so
It worked perfectly.
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『ただ経済と投資が好き→ただ好き』
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ただ好き OP : sequential yield → sequential yield
incidentally
I was aiming for a profit of 50% or more within 1 year.
アマチュア投資家 : There is a sign that inflation is likely to subside, and I think long-term bonds will see the light of day someday, but in the absence of rapid interest rate cuts, it is my opinion that the time for popularity to concentrate on stocks bought ahead of expectations will be a considerable period of time. I've been thinking about it for a while, but it means that only a hard landing is a scenario where bonds skyrocket. There is no reason for the Fed to cut interest rates drastically in the current situation. There were also voices saying that 3/11 was an opportunity... but to be honest, I think they are optimistic. Of course, no one knows the future, so it is necessary to choose leveraged products taking risk into account and constantly monitor them. From the end of the year to the New Year holidays, I steered to growth with good financial results for semiconductors such as NVDA, SMH, and SOXL, etc., and CRWD, DUOL, etc., so things are going well so far, but after all, the core is VTI, and I have MMF waiting for a minimum amount of money in case of a crash.
ただ好き OP : I agree with you. I agree that only a hard landing is a scenario where debt skyrockets.
yamacyan : Around 2015, it was around $200, and the subsequent $600 was an exception, but let's say it won't rise at all this time. Or should I just say that it takes time on an annual basis?
We haven't done a very thorough investigation here, so I would appreciate it if you could let me know
ただ好き OP : Currently, I anticipate that it will take on an annual basis. There are also ownership costs, so it's difficult to calculate that.
アマチュア投資家 ただ好き OP : I think it's wonderful to be observed from a flat perspective. I'm also transitioning to high technology now, but if the Fed falls into a situation where it is forced to cut interest rates urgently, I think I'll come back here. After all, no one knows what the future holds, and we have no choice but to fight while changing opinions flexibly, or put time on our side even with a modest index.