NVDA
NVIDIA
-- 131.760 TSLA
Tesla
-- 396.360 RGTI
Rigetti Computing
-- 8.9500 AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
-- 116.090 PLTR
Palantir
-- 65.910 
The $100K Milestone Has Been Reached—What’s Next?
Bitcoin has officially broken past the $100,000 mark! After weeks of consolidating between $90,000 and $99,800, testing everyone’s patience, the market delivered a surprise at just the right moment. But make no mistake—$100K is only the beginning of this bull market. ![]()
Where are we in this Bitcoin bull cycle? Let’s take a closer look at some key indicators.
PlanB’s Stock-to-Flow Model (S2F)
PlanB’s S2F model rose to fame during the 2019-2021 bull market, accurately predicting Bitcoin’s climb to $55,000 in early 2021. Though the model began to diverge later that year and was declared invalid by 2022, PlanB is back with updated forecasts.
According to his latest predictions, Bitcoin has already hit the first two targets: $70,000 in October and $100,000 in November (close enough at $99,800). The next goal? $150,000 by December.
PlanB’s Stock-to-Flow Model (S2F)
PlanB’s S2F model rose to fame during the 2019-2021 bull market, accurately predicting Bitcoin’s climb to $55,000 in early 2021. Though the model began to diverge later that year and was declared invalid by 2022, PlanB is back with updated forecasts.
According to his latest predictions, Bitcoin has already hit the first two targets: $70,000 in October and $100,000 in November (close enough at $99,800). The next goal? $150,000 by December.
How Should You Trade Bitcoin Now?
Bitcoin is currently consolidating, but it remains within a support zone. If it breaks resistance and continues its upward trend, the rally could gain momentum—but only with sufficient inflows to confirm the move. Watch out for volume and MACD divergence; a mismatch could signal caution.
Bitcoin is currently consolidating, but it remains within a support zone. If it breaks resistance and continues its upward trend, the rally could gain momentum—but only with sufficient inflows to confirm the move. Watch out for volume and MACD divergence; a mismatch could signal caution.
Buy What?
- Spot Bitcoin is the simplest choice for direct exposure.
- Bitcoin ETFs offer low-cost entry and familiarity for traditional investors.
- Futures? Not ideal for beginners—be cautious with leveraged positions.
- Spot Bitcoin is the simplest choice for direct exposure.
- Bitcoin ETFs offer low-cost entry and familiarity for traditional investors.
- Futures? Not ideal for beginners—be cautious with leveraged positions.
When to Enter?
If you can’t sit through the sideways action, consider buying on a breakout above resistance with rising volume. This is often the best opportunity to capture a strong upward trend.
Hold or Sell?
1. If your risk exposure is high, hold as long as Bitcoin doesn’t drop below its mid-channel support.
2. For smaller risk profiles, consider setting stop losses near resistance levels, especially if MACD divergence appears.
Hedging Risks:
If your cost basis is low, you can hedge against downside risks using inverse ETFs (e.g., $CSOP Bitcoin Futures Daily (-1x) Inverse Product (07376.HK)$) at key support levels. Close the hedge quickly if the market resumes its climb, allowing your original position to capitalize on the further upside.
Portfolio Allocation:
Bitcoin is highly volatile, so position sizing is critical. Conservative investors might allocate 5-10% to crypto assets, while aggressive investors could push closer to 15%. Keep your overall crypto exposure below 15% of your total portfolio.
Example:
If you have a $1M portfolio, allocate up to $150K to crypto. A 50% market crash would reduce your crypto holdings by $75K, translating to just a 7.5% loss on your entire portfolio.
Beyond Bitcoin: Other Profit Opportunities
Bull markets attract capital across the board, and altcoins are no exception. Smart money is flowing into assets with the least resistance.
If you can’t sit through the sideways action, consider buying on a breakout above resistance with rising volume. This is often the best opportunity to capture a strong upward trend.
Hold or Sell?
1. If your risk exposure is high, hold as long as Bitcoin doesn’t drop below its mid-channel support.
2. For smaller risk profiles, consider setting stop losses near resistance levels, especially if MACD divergence appears.
Hedging Risks:
If your cost basis is low, you can hedge against downside risks using inverse ETFs (e.g., $CSOP Bitcoin Futures Daily (-1x) Inverse Product (07376.HK)$) at key support levels. Close the hedge quickly if the market resumes its climb, allowing your original position to capitalize on the further upside.
Portfolio Allocation:
Bitcoin is highly volatile, so position sizing is critical. Conservative investors might allocate 5-10% to crypto assets, while aggressive investors could push closer to 15%. Keep your overall crypto exposure below 15% of your total portfolio.
Example:
If you have a $1M portfolio, allocate up to $150K to crypto. A 50% market crash would reduce your crypto holdings by $75K, translating to just a 7.5% loss on your entire portfolio.
Beyond Bitcoin: Other Profit Opportunities
Bull markets attract capital across the board, and altcoins are no exception. Smart money is flowing into assets with the least resistance.
Last Friday, Ethereum ($ETH.CC) ETFs saw $33M in inflows, surpassing Bitcoin ETFs’ $32M for the first time ever. Ethereum’s strong weekend rally to $3,760 reflects this momentum, and while its growth lags behind Bitcoin’s, it’s still up 62.26% year-to-date. Watch for pullbacks as potential entry points.
Bitwise recently filed an ETF application with the SEC, citing Ethereum’s potential to hit $4,000 in December. Could this be the catalyst for a new yearly high?
Altcoins on the Rise
Avalanche ($AVAX.CC): Up 52.29% since Bitcoin’s last pullback.
ChainLink ($LINK.CC): Showing robust performance as well.
Altcoins often follow Bitcoin’s lead, and a BTC pullback could trigger a shift in focus to other assets.
Avalanche ($AVAX.CC): Up 52.29% since Bitcoin’s last pullback.
ChainLink ($LINK.CC): Showing robust performance as well.
Altcoins often follow Bitcoin’s lead, and a BTC pullback could trigger a shift in focus to other assets.
Why Are Some Altcoins Rallying So Hard?
Pro-crypto policies are playing a big role.
- Trump has proposed eliminating all capital gains taxes on crypto assets issued by U.S. companies. If enacted, profits from ADA, ALGO, XRP, and HBAR could be tax-free for U.S. investors.
- Putin has also voiced support for Bitcoin, questioning the need for Russia’s foreign currency reserves and suggesting Bitcoin as an alternative.
Pro-crypto policies are playing a big role.
- Trump has proposed eliminating all capital gains taxes on crypto assets issued by U.S. companies. If enacted, profits from ADA, ALGO, XRP, and HBAR could be tax-free for U.S. investors.
- Putin has also voiced support for Bitcoin, questioning the need for Russia’s foreign currency reserves and suggesting Bitcoin as an alternative.
Meme Coins & Old Favorites
Currently, the best speculative plays fall into two categories:
1. Newly launched meme coins.
2. Resurging older tokens with renewed activity.
As the Fed continues cutting rates, fresh capital is entering the market, fueling a rotation into riskier assets. Stay tuned—this bull market is just getting started.
Currently, the best speculative plays fall into two categories:
1. Newly launched meme coins.
2. Resurging older tokens with renewed activity.
As the Fed continues cutting rates, fresh capital is entering the market, fueling a rotation into riskier assets. Stay tuned—this bull market is just getting started.
What’s your take? Vote and share your thoughts!
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
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TA fan | People overreact all the time and the chart helps us make use of that
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Discussing
Trump 2.0 Era: What's the next opportunity in the markets?
▪️Could Trump's crypto policies potentially benefit the crypto market? ▪️Might his tariff policies have a positive effect on Chinese stocks
Michael McCarthy CCO
Jan 3 11:57
Ask a strategist - Trump's first day
Yeize : I’m curious how geopolitical factors, like Putin’s comments or Trump’s tax proposal, might impact broader adoption. Do you see these as long-term game changers or just short-term noise?
Ultratech Yeize : ppl been crying blood about geopolitical tensions since the market started