The amount at the bottom of the tlt is probably about to change
Recently, tlt has fallen to its bottom, with a marked increase in trading volume.
Some people say that retail investors are collectively scavenging the bottom, but there has been a turnover of around 45 billion dollars for many days. I really don't think retail investors have this ability. For the most part, it's still a game between institutions.
This sharp increase in bottom volume is usually a sign of a shuffle that the market is about to change. The probability is a rebound; the small probability is that it will continue to plummet. To be honest, if it continues to plummet, then long-term interest rates will rush to 5.5%-6% (corresponding to TLT falling to 70-80). If that were to happen, how many losses would banks have to lose, and how many more would they go bankrupt? I'm afraid Grandpa Biden and Grandma Yellen will run over and punch Powell in the butt. Interest rates on long-term bonds have almost soared to 5% in one go, so it's time to take a breather. I don't think it's likely that interest rates will continue to soar, at least in the short term. If you want to keep going fast, you'll also need to take a few months off.
Therefore, I look at the bottom rebound, referring to the November-December trend of last year. However, this does not mean a reversal. It may rise to 95-100, and continue to fall, which is also inaccurate.
At this time, I don't think it's reasonable to cut meat, I'm too panicked, unless there is a better investment target and the position is changed.
As to whether you want to buy it or not, it's up to you to make a personal choice. Of all my current bond investments, the ratio of length to length is 3 to 7. There is room to increase and decrease positions. The average cost of TTL is about 92. I don't see any reason to support this kind of thing, I don't see any reason to support this kind of thing; it's too risky. To play with bonds, isn't it just about trying to stabilize the word? If you want to pursue excitement, you might as well have fun $Tesla(TSLA.US$ 。
Many of my friends are bearish on TLT. It's not easy to talk about for a long time, but I'm not that pessimistic in the short term. Let's take a look at it step by step.
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为富图系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。㊗️大家越来越🐮
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SpyderCall : The biggest volume candles typically appear near local peaks and troughs in price action. Good call out![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")