The decline in US stocks began on the 20th
✅ Exchange $USD/JPY(USDJPY.FX$
・The dollar rose
・The pound depreciated in response to a slowdown in British inflation
○Voices from the Market
・Skeptical views on whether the FRB will cut interest rates as rapidly as expected by the market
・What I want to avoid the most is a situation where interest rate hikes must be reversed after a few months
✅ Bonds
・Yields are at a low level for the first time in about 5 months
・The trend of global bond appreciation due to the further strengthening of interest rate cut observations next year has spread
○Voices from the Market
・Economic growth is slowing down, giving some people a sense of recession quite a bit
✅ Shares
・Sudden decline
・The rise has stopped
・S&P 500 short-term put options were bought in large quantities
・Sales wary of rising geopolitical risks in response to reports that the United States is considering military action in response to repeated ship attacks in the Red Sea by the Houthis faction, a pro-Iranian armed group in Yemen
○Voices from the Market
・The market price has grown, and it is clearly overbought
・There is a large probability that the softening of labor market conditions associated with a suppressive economic policy stance will weigh on future demand, consumption, and growth
✔ ︎ alphabet (GOOG) $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US$
Reports say they are planning a business restructuring of the 30,000 advertising sales department
✔ ︎ Micron Technology (MU) $Micron Technology(MU.US$
The loss per share did not expand as much as expected, and there are strong forecasts that there are signs of a recovery in demand
✅ Remarks by dignitaries
✔ ︎ President Harker
・There is no need to raise additional interest rates; current levels should be maintained
・The economy is softening faster than data suggests
・Interest rates should be cut, but not immediately
✅ Kabuzaru's point of view
・Technically, the feeling of overheating was getting stronger
・There is no trigger, so I think it's a smooth flow.
・Of the put options, it is said that 0DET was 130 trillion yen
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くじらくじら : How long did the depreciation of the yen last?
Is there a possibility that it will be 150 or higher?
かぶざる OP くじらくじら : I don't think there will be a return to 150 yen from the Fed's current intentions.
くじらくじら かぶざる OP : is that so?