The dollar to yen exchange rate hit a high for the first time in 38 years due to the influence of the US presidential election
✔️ Expectations for Trump's re-election and market reaction
The reason behind the rapid rise in the dollar to yen exchange rate is that the possibility that Mr. Trump will win the next presidential election is increasing. If Mr. Trump is re-elected, it is expected that the budget deficit will expand and the inflation rate will rise. As a result, the yield on US bonds has risen, and the Japan-US interest rate difference has widened. Demand for carry transactions using this interest rate difference has increased, and the movement to buy dollars with high interest rates by selling yen with low interest rates is intensifying.
✔️ Rise in US bond yields
In the US bond market, 10-year bond yields temporarily reached 4.47%. The 30-year bond yield also rose to 4.63%. These increases come from inflation concerns and the outlook for a widening budget deficit against the backdrop of Trump's possibility of victory.
✔️ Crude oil market trends
In the crude oil market, WTI crude oil futures closed at $83 and recorded a high for the first time in about 2 months. Increased geopolitical risks and hurricanes hitting the Caribbean have had an impact. There is a possibility that this hurricane season will be tough. ✔️ The strong gold rate in the gold market remained almost unchanged at $2,327. The US economic indicators to be announced this week are searching for clues about when interest rates will be cut. As interest rates continue to fall, there is a possibility that demand for investment in gold will increase.
#投資 #ドル円 #為替 #NISA #老後 #資産 #資産運用 #pound #dollar #yen #euro #mexican peso
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