The most popular ETF at the moment: TMF！
Yields hit record highs, has the U.S. bond market bottomed? Can I buy the dip now?
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF(TMF.US$ (abbreviated as TMF) has been sought after by more and more investors. Recently, capital inflows have reached a record high. Many people believe that the U.S. bond market has hit the bottom and can start buying the bottom.
So, is now the best time to buy the dip in U.S. debt?
If the market is now pricing in a rate cut of about 130 basis points next year, the answer is yes, but for now Powell seems unwilling to consider a rate cut.
In a speech in early December, he said that it is now concluded that the Fed has completed raising interest rates or speculation. It's too early to cut interest rates.
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2865479 : be careful with tmf. in theory bonds are sluggish in nature with rebalancing and decay of leaveraged etfs unless you're swing trading it but it plan on long then you really want tlt or bnd, tltw for dividends
Aomori19 Mooooney : We must be careful to control the existence of risks
GeekedGremlin : I’m up over 50% on this trade right now and the only thing I’m holding at the moment
Marwari Chhoro : Where do you see this at the end of 2024 if we get 75 bps cut in the year?