Nikkei average sharply rises in the tech market, hitting a new record high is just a matter of time with 0.04 million yen in sight!? Focus on NVIDIA's earnings report on the 21st.
The Nikkei Stock Average rose for three consecutive days from the 8th to the 13th, reaching a high of 0.03 million7963 yen on the 13th.It rose to a high of 0.03 million7963 yen, the highest level in 34 years.In particular, the increase on the 13th exceeded 1000 yen, coming close to the all-time high of 0.03 million8915 yen set in December 1989.It came within less than 1000 yen of the all-time high of 0.03 million8915 yen, which was set on the 13th.Leading this stock rally was $SoftBank Group (9984.JP)$AI and semiconductor-related stocks, etc. To further increase stock prices, first focus on the 15th in the US. $Applied Materials (AMAT.US)$ and the 21st in the US, the earnings reports are becoming key points. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$The Nikkei average is at its all-time high, with the possibility of reaching 0.04 million yen.
Nikkei Average seems likely to try for a record high.
According to the Nikkei newspaper dated the 13th, there is likely to be active movement aiming for dividends by the end of March, and there is also an expected development of trying to reach the highest level of the Nikkei Average."It is only a matter of time before a new all-time high is reached, and reaching 0.04 million yen is not difficult" (Yasuhiko Kumamoto, Market Strategist at Mizuho Securities).It is only a matter of time before a new all-time high is reached, and reaching 0.04 million yen is not difficult.Introducing the market's perspective, including the views of Yoshinori Shigemi, a macro strategist at Fidelity Investments.
According to Bloomberg on the 13th, in the derivatives market, the bullish view on Japanese stocks has strengthened, with trading in call options (buy rights, March expiration) with an exercise price of 0.04 million yen expanding, reaching a high price of 90 yen at one point.
According to the Nikkei newspaper dated the 13th, there is likely to be active movement aiming for dividends by the end of March, and there is also an expected development of trying to reach the highest level of the Nikkei Average."It is only a matter of time before a new all-time high is reached, and reaching 0.04 million yen is not difficult" (Yasuhiko Kumamoto, Market Strategist at Mizuho Securities).It is only a matter of time before a new all-time high is reached, and reaching 0.04 million yen is not difficult.Introducing the market's perspective, including the views of Yoshinori Shigemi, a macro strategist at Fidelity Investments.
According to Bloomberg on the 13th, in the derivatives market, the bullish view on Japanese stocks has strengthened, with trading in call options (buy rights, March expiration) with an exercise price of 0.04 million yen expanding, reaching a high price of 90 yen at one point.
Tech stocks leading the market
The main actors leading the rise over the past three days are SoftBank Group, $Tokyo Electron (8035.JP)$、 $Advantest (6857.JP)$forming a 'tech stock market' where AI and semiconductor-related stocks push the market higher, similar to the phenomenon in the US stock market following 2023, led by the 'Magnificent Seven.'
The main actors leading the rise over the past three days are SoftBank Group, $Tokyo Electron (8035.JP)$、 $Advantest (6857.JP)$forming a 'tech stock market' where AI and semiconductor-related stocks push the market higher, similar to the phenomenon in the US stock market following 2023, led by the 'Magnificent Seven.'
Tokyo Electron was well received after announcing better-than-expected earnings for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending in March 2024 (October to December) and full-year financial estimates after the market close on the 9th. In addition, SoftBank Group's positive outlook shown by its subsidiary, British Arm Holdings, during the announcement of the third quarter on the 7th led to a significant rise in stock price, prompting buying. The rise in tech giants' stocks in the US also appears to have prompted foreign investors and others to seek similar domestic stocks.
9日はソフトバンクグループが終値を128円押し上げたことで、日経平均株価は前日終値比でプラスの34円高になった。また、13日は、この2社とアドバンテストだけで、日経平均株価の上昇額の5割超を占めた。市場では「上昇トレンドは続くが、エヌビディアの決算が出れば材料出尽くしで一度上昇基調は落ち着く」(大和証券の木野内栄治チーフテクニカルアナリスト)との見方が多い(9日付日本経済新聞)ようだ。前出のフィデリティ投信の重見マクロストラテジストは、「アプライド・マテリアルズとエヌビディアといった市場の注目度が高い半導体企業の決算発表を控え、半導体関連への期待感が高まりやすい面もある。短期的に調整する場面はあるだろうが、半導体関連は今後も日本株を押し上げる中心的な存在だろう」(13日付日本経済新聞)とみている。
There is also risk in concentrating on investment stocks.
On the other hand, Bloomberg on the 13th reported the views of Masahiro Yamaguchi, Senior Market Analyst at SMBC Trust Bank,The current rise in the Nikkei average is significantly influenced by the movement of AI-related stocks, making it a high stock market on thin ice.Introduced is a comment from "".
The "NT ratio", calculated by dividing the Nikkei average by the Tokyo Stock Price Index (TOPIX), which is relatively influenced by value stocks, has continued to rise and reached 14.53 times on the 13th. The NT ratio is generally considered to be around 10-12 times. The Nikkei 9th edition of the Nikkei Economic Newspaper pointed out, "Since the previous stock market rise due to AI in July 23, it has reached a high level," and on the same day, the Nikkei Economic Newspaper also mentioned that "Buying bias towards some large cap stocks has become noticeable."
On the other hand, Bloomberg on the 13th reported the views of Masahiro Yamaguchi, Senior Market Analyst at SMBC Trust Bank,The current rise in the Nikkei average is significantly influenced by the movement of AI-related stocks, making it a high stock market on thin ice.Introduced is a comment from "".
The "NT ratio", calculated by dividing the Nikkei average by the Tokyo Stock Price Index (TOPIX), which is relatively influenced by value stocks, has continued to rise and reached 14.53 times on the 13th. The NT ratio is generally considered to be around 10-12 times. The Nikkei 9th edition of the Nikkei Economic Newspaper pointed out, "Since the previous stock market rise due to AI in July 23, it has reached a high level," and on the same day, the Nikkei Economic Newspaper also mentioned that "Buying bias towards some large cap stocks has become noticeable."
Pay attention to factors other than the tech market that may contribute to stock price increases.
In addition to AI and semiconductor-related stocks, there are other elements to look forward to for the Nikkei to reach record highs. These include the current weakening of the yen due to expectations that the interest rate spread between Japan and the USA will not narrow in the short term, a shift from the sluggish Chinese stock market to the Japanese stock market as an investment destination, movements towards shareholder returns and capital efficiency improvement focused on well-performing companies, as well as new fund inflows due to the start of the New NISA.
With these factors expanding the range of investment stocks, it is expected to lead to stable stock price increases, not just temporarily.
In addition to AI and semiconductor-related stocks, there are other elements to look forward to for the Nikkei to reach record highs. These include the current weakening of the yen due to expectations that the interest rate spread between Japan and the USA will not narrow in the short term, a shift from the sluggish Chinese stock market to the Japanese stock market as an investment destination, movements towards shareholder returns and capital efficiency improvement focused on well-performing companies, as well as new fund inflows due to the start of the New NISA.
With these factors expanding the range of investment stocks, it is expected to lead to stable stock price increases, not just temporarily.
- Moomoo News Mark
Source: Nikkei, Bloomberg, Minkabu, Fisco
Source: Nikkei, Bloomberg, Minkabu, Fisco
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
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し〜dora : Thanks for your report