How do people waste their time?

Founder of Baron Capital, American billionaire, investor Ronald Stephen Baron (Ronald Stephen Baron, Jewish descent) publicly touted Tesla in March this year.2024 target of $1500.、By 2030, it will impact $2000.，Prepare to hold stocks for at least another ten years”。

In the daily chart, the valuable MACD has a second golden cross at a high level, indicating a buy signal:

People usually have different attitudes towards the market: from not seeing and dismissing, to not understanding and not having time to react.

The market (not absolute) bursts in despair, rises in hesitation, and dies in joy.

Ronald Stephen Baron, the founder of Baron Capital, the twelfth largest institutional shareholder of Tesla, holds over 6 million shares of Tesla stocks in total (with a cost of only $42.88 per share). People should seriously reflect on why their holding cost is so low. Baron Capital, founded by the American billionaire and investor Ronald Stephen Baron (of Jewish descent), has already made $6 billion on this stock of Tesla. People should seriously reflect on why they can make so much. Are you scheming and acting recklessly in your operations?2024 target of $1500.、By 2030, it will impact $2000.”。

Don't buy Tesla when it just drops, saying that a stock of a company producing and selling electric vehicles like Tesla is worth $300?

Tesla's TTM (Trailing Twelve Months, Price-to-Earning Ratio, dynamic pe) all exceed 106.64;

The static P/E ratio also exceeds 100, indicating a significant valuation risk.

Looking to put and short sell Tesla at a high to arbitrage, then buy back after a sharp drop to establish a position. Achieve both long and short strategies, both long and short wins.

After the sharp rise in Tesla's stock price, should I still chase to buy? Could it be that the bullish news has been exhausted and the bearish news is emerging, causing a pump and dump by driving up the price for selling?

The power and charm of applied mathematics:

If it goes up, how high will it rise? Where will be the peak? Will chasing high and chasing strength now get trapped and result in floating losses?

It is calculated by discrete-time Markov chain and Markov transition probability matrix that:Once Tesla's stock price rises to 414.70, an exponential launch trajectory will occur.

Named after the Russian mathematician Andrey Andreyevich Markov (June 14, 1856 - July 20, 1922, Russian mathematician) for his important work in the field of random processes, the most significant research later became known as Markov chains and Markov processes. It is a random process of transitions from one state to another in a state space. This process requires the property of "memorylessness": the probability distribution of the next state can only be determined by the current state, and events prior to it in the time series are irrelevant. This specific type of "memorylessness" is called the Markov property. Markov chains, as a statistical model of actual processes, have many applications (adjustments need to be made according to respective environments and conditions).

On the banyan tree by the pond.
The cicadas are chirping loudly, announcing the arrival of summer.
On the swing by the playground.
Only butterflies stop on top.
The teacher's chalk on the blackboard
Still tirelessly chattering and writing non-stop
Waiting for class to end Waiting for school to be dismissed
Waiting for the childhood games
There is everything inside the welfare center.
Just don't have a penny in the pocket.
Zhuge Shirong and the Devil Party.
Who exactly got that precious sword?
The girl next door
Why haven't you passed by my window yet
The snacks in the mouth, the comics in hand.
心裡初戀的童年
總是要等到睡覺前　
才知道功課祇作了一點點
總是要等到考試以後　
才知道該唸的書都沒有唸
一寸光陰一寸金　
老師說過寸金難買寸光陰
一天又一天　一年又一年　
Hazy childhood
No one knows why
The sun always sets on the other side of the mountain
No one can tell me
Are there immortals living in the mountains
In the days
Always facing the sky and daydreaming alone
Just so curious, just so fantasizing
Such a lonely childhood.
Dragonflies flying under the sunshine.
Fields of lush green rice paddies.
Watercolor crayons and kaleidoscope drawings.
No rainbow in sight at the horizon.
When will I have a mature and grown-up face like the older classmates?
Looking forward to the holidays, looking forward to tomorrow.
Yearning for a childhood to grow up.
一天又一天　一年又一年　
Yearning for a childhood to grow up.

Video playback link🔗： - YouTube

When I was in junior high school that year, the patients' friends of my father who is an internal medicine doctor particularly liked me. They gave me a movie ticket for the colorful movie "Southern Expedition, Northern Battle", which was priced at 0.50 yuan RMB at that time (considered expensive back then). After watching the movie and coming out, it was already dark when I walked back home, probably around 7 o'clock in the evening. My parents asked why I came home late, and I answered truthfully. They didn't say anything to me. I quickly finished dinner and started on my homework. My parents came to my room, asked me to take a break before doing homework, and casually turned on the tape recorder, which was playing the song "Childhood" written by Luo Dayou. I opened my homework, feeling very unsettled inside, a sense of guilt and self-blame emerged. I hadn't finished my homework and went to watch the movie. Many years have passed, circumstances have changed, and every time I hear the song "Childhood", I still remember this scene.

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Elias Chen

成熟投资者：格局，概率，取舍。没有格局必然急功近利。不计概率会把运气当技术。不懂取舍，有所不为，最后必落入陷阱和圈套。

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