There is always a second bottom after a crash!
Since the Bank of Japan meeting last week, the global stock market has been rough due to a major crash and sharp rise, but have you managed to surpass them?
Or were you able to increase your assets all at once in a short period of time?
Or were you able to increase your assets all at once in a short period of time?
Something“The decline exceeds Black Monday”There's a word dancing around, but what's important isn't the price range.
volatilityIt is.
※Incidentally, the thumbnail and title say “maximum reduction!” It's better not to watch calls from people who are fishing.Angler discovery wordsthat's it lol
volatilityIt is.
※Incidentally, the thumbnail and title say “maximum reduction!” It's better not to watch calls from people who are fishing.Angler discovery wordsthat's it lol
As I've written several times in this moomoo column,What is important is how much did the highest values of VIX and Nikkei VI blow to, and at what level will they move thereafterIt's... Numbers that have no meaning, such as “the biggest decline in history,” are numbers that the media just wants to make an impact.
On 2024/8/5, the high price of Nikkei VI hit 85.38, which was higher than the coronavirus shock!That's why it becomes important information.
andAfter Nikkei VI was hit by a crash of over 50, they often went to see the low again after testing a return with an autonomous rebound... there is a fact.
This is a story that is usually written in chart textbooks,Note that even if it stops falling once due to a sharp fall or crash, it will go to bottom 2It's a guy called...
What is this “bottom 2,” to be precise“A market that has become highly volatile, where the volatility exceeds 50% or 60%, cannot calm down without testing multiple lower price attempts.”I just talked about the characteristics of volatility in the form of a chart.
If volatility does not calm down, stock prices will not settle down.
Volatility is “fluctuating energy in stock prices.”
Volatility is “fluctuating energy in stock prices.”
If the ball is dropped from a high place, in other words, “if potential energy is increased,” it will bounce back on the ground, rise to a certain level, bounce back on the ground again, and rise slightly again...
What are stock market keywords“Dead Cat Bounce”It's also called, isn't it?
This is a daily chart of the Nikkei Average during “Black Monday,” which occurred in the United States on 1987/10/19.
In Japan, there was a major crash of -14.90% on the next 20th, and the next day, on the contrary, there was no sudden rebound, and on the 21st, they recovered to a total of +14.02%. I was relieved for a while, and over the next 2 days, they went back all the way back to bottom 2.
Furthermore, the decline widened by adding the 3rd bottom on 11/11 and the 4th bottom on 12/28, and finally turned upward at the 4th bottom over 2 full months.
Next is the coronavirus shock in March 2020.
The decline from 2020/2/6 to 3/19 was -31.8%.
From there, it went back +19.5%, and the second bottom is -9.8%.
From there, it went back +19.5%, and the second bottom is -9.8%.
At this time, the world rapidly underwent cross-dimensional mitigation, so the second bottom was shallow and quickly rose.
And now this is it.
The shape is becoming similar to after Black Monday and after COVID-19,A matter of courseWhat is it.
This is a nonsense story about the return of Black Monday, or how similar the shape of the chart is,Since it's an abnormally high volatility market, it's natural for price movements to be similarThat's it.
In other words, it is still difficult to determine whether yesterday's high was a one-time return high price, but it returned 15% at 35850 yen. There is also a feeling that it has somehow returned to a good point.
If that's the case,There is a pretty high possibility that they will test a fall to the 32000 yen level againIt is.
andIn the next decline, credit buying groups that endured this time and throwing sales for those with a short investment history = broken hearts... will come out。
andIn the next decline, credit buying groups that endured this time and throwing sales for those with a short investment history = broken hearts... will come out。
The Nikkei VI is still in its 40 units, so I think it's better to look at the market price with another drastic decline in mind.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
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183946329 : I was wary of a crash, so profits were determined before the crash! I bought it at the bottom after it crashed and then sold in half after rising!
Profits were determined twice due to this crash, so this is probably a good result. Prices are being targeted and monitored for bottom 2.
tm_speedstyle371 : Thank you very much. Japanese stocks seem to be easier to bottom out![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
183946329 : Overseas institutional investors buy US stocks by procuring with yen, which has a low interest rate. If the yen appreciates, institutional investors will cancel their positions all at once. When dollars are sold and yen is about to be bought, yen appreciation progresses further.
Then, a crash occurs, and panic selling further lowers stock prices. And buy at the bottom. When bought, purchases lead to purchases and skyrocketed. Then, institutional investors sell. Delicious twice at once
bakahakoroshitahouga : If anything, it's better to fall into the abyss
