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Things to think about (from Steel Mentors)

Until now, I've consistently said that the recession is too early to worry about, and that it's too much to put in, what we have to think about from the current economic dataretail salesConsumption behavior in the US is strong as before due to a significant increase, and the financial results of Walmart, a major US retail company announced before today's market, are also excellent, and guidance has also been raised, which suggests the possibility that the economy has already bottomed out and is moving towards recovery,Number of Unemployment Insurance ApplicationsIt fell short of expectations for 2 consecutive weeks, and the possibility that the rise in the unemployment rate was also a temporary factor such as bad weather is increasing
Concerns about a recession have been quickly dispelled even when the indicators are checked; when we recognize a recession, stock prices have bottomed out first and are already in a recovery period, and if news starts circulating in the future that there is a recession now, it will be a story that no landing has been achieved, so to speak
Of course, it will continue to be important to think based on economic data, corporate accounts, and indicators
My story is that there is such a possibility, so we have to think about it
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  • ゆっちゃん16 : As always, thank you for your positive feedback ♪
    I watch it all the time and it feels good.
    I often think so too, so it makes me happy 😊
    thanks

  • ジョモりん OP ゆっちゃん16 : There's a lot of data to be bullish about right now, so I'm positive[undefined]I would be happy if you could use it as a reference[undefined]

  • ゆっちゃん16 : I'm a beginner, so I don't know,
    What are you looking at to say you're bullish?

  • ジョモりん OP ゆっちゃん16 : I've talked about a lot in my comments up until now, so I hope you can take a look at my past comments; I'm bullish even before the stock price drops[undefined]

  • 181301798 : There is a good possibility that there is a possibility that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25 in September, and the market will selfishly rise 4 times a year in terms of number of times, and what they have in common to some extent is that stock prices will rise in November; if you just suggest a 0.25 interest rate cut after Jackson Hole, stock prices will rise; if there is a possibility that they will break up with the general public, the rate cut was also factored in the market, and is it 0.5 or 0.25, So I was reminded of a recession, and Buffett Taro said, prepare for a recession, and the reading is that stock prices will fall after September, and stock prices will rise after the presidential election in November, but it depends on the index numbers and the September employment statistics numbers, but even if there is still a recession, isn't there room for an increase in September according to the index numbers?
    There are uneasy points that there may be talks with Israel and Hamas, or an attack and defense with Iran

  • ゆっちゃん16 : Is there an index or something that is most important

  • ジョモりん OP ゆっちゃん16 : No, it's a comprehensive judgment, the situation changes day by day, so I don't really care about short-term movements, and since I'm a long-term trader, I often make decisions that focus on the big picture[undefined]

  • ジョモりん OP 181301798 : It's important to organize and make your own judgments, and if the deterioration in employment isn't shown ahead of time, a flow like my comment is quite possible, and while checking economic indicators, I'm making predictions that stock prices will strengthen so far even after September[undefined]It's until data that changes the situation comes out, but I feel like it's unlikely that it will come out[undefined]

  • ゆっちゃん16 : That's a great point of view.
    It's reassuring
    How long has your investment history been?

  • ジョモりん OP ゆっちゃん16 : it's still about 4 years lol it's important to follow the trend of the times when investing, so I'm wondering if I can predict the future regardless of my investment history[undefined]

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