Thoughts as they come.
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ With the high expectations of a rate cut based on this employment statistics, funds are flowing into stocks, while bonds are likely to decline. Specific signs of an economic downturn have not yet emerged. There are news of small and medium-sized bank bankruptcies. If the next president turns out to be Trump, it seems that the bond market will face a tough situation for a while. Maybe considering partial sales. But compared to the time of the Lehman shock, one might expect a recession within two years after the yield curve inversion is resolved? It might be a long wait to keep hope alive. Even at the most, probably not several times the principal as during the time of the coronavirus, maybe around twice as much?
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