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Traders to stay cautious ahead of multiple US economic data and President Biden's speech out tonight

Traders to stay cautious ahead of multiple US economic data and President Biden's speech out tonight
US Market Key Charts (S&P, US Dollar, Gold)
$E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BEARISH ↘ **]View remains unchanged as technical elements are still valid. We maintain our bearish bias as long as price holds below 5670 resistance, before pushing lower towards 5375 support. Stochastics indicator is reacting below resistance where price dropped in the past. Price is also holding below 21 period EMA.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing above 5670 resistance will open a limited push towards 5721.25 resistance.

$USD (USDindex.FX)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BULLISH↗ *]DXY dropped lower and is now close to our previous support at 101.960. An intraday bounce above this support towards 101.570 resistance is expected. We downgrade this to a low conviction scenario given that technical indicators are now mixed.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing below 100.960 will see a deeper pullback towards 100.615 support.
$Gold Futures(DEC4) (GCmain.US)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BEARISH ↘ *]As expected, gold price dropped lower and reached previous target. Price is now back to below 2533 resistance. We maintain our bearish directional bias on lowered conviction, expecting one more intraday push lower to 2506.50 support. Technical indicators are still advocating for a bearish scenario.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing above 2533 resistance will open a short term push higher towards next resistance at 2558.
NIKKEI 225 / TOPIX IndexFutures
$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BEARISH ↘ **]View unchanged. We remain bearish for now with price holding below 37950 resistance. A further push lower towards 35980 support is still expected. Technical indicators are advocating for a bearish scenario with MACD showing a build up in bearish momentum.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing above 37950 resistance will invalidate bearish scenario and open a short term rise towards 39000 resistance.
HSI IndexFutures
$HSI Futures(OCT4) (HSImain.HK)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BEARISH ↘ **]We maintain our bearish directional bias as we expect price to hold below 17800 resistance level. We expect prices to push towards 17000 support level. Technical indicators advocate bearish momentum as well.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing above 17800 resistance level could open a push towards 18000 resistance level.
SG Market - STI
$FTSE Singapore Straits Time Index (.STI.SG)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[NEUTRAL]As expected, price held above 3390 support level. We turn neutral as price hovers between 3390 support level and 3500 resistance level. Technical indicators are leaning towards a bullish scenario. A 4 hour candlestick closing above 3500 resistance level could open a push towards 3600 resistance level.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing below 3390 support level could open a drop towards 3320 support level.
Summary - What Is Happening In The Markets
US markets closed lower last night, with $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ and $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$ dipped by 0.21% and 0.23%. This follows underperforming JOLTs job opening data. Energy and tech sector experienced the biggest losses. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ was the only counter that bucked the trend, climbing by 4.18%. Traders should look out for multiple economic data released tonight -- ADP nonfarm employment change, initial jobless claims, S&P global services PMI and ISM non-manufacturing PMI. Additionally, President Biden is expected to speak on economic policy ahead of Trump and Harris' debate.
Asian markets open mixed today, with $Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$ edging lower by 0.43%. This is due to strengthening of the JPY and Nikkei mirroring the move of the US indices. $HSI Futures(OCT4) (HSImain.HK)$ drifted marginally lower by 0.03%. The risk-off sentiment deteriorated among traders due to slow growth in service activity and increasing tension between China and Canada after Canada imposed tariffs on Chinese EVs, steel and aluminium. Energy minerals sector saw the most weakness, with $SINOPEC CORP (00386.HK)$ pushing lower by 6.85%. $FTSE Singapore Straits Time Index (.STI.SG)$ drifted higher by 0.28%, boosted by the finance and producer manufacturing sector. Traders should keep an eye out for retail sales data released later.
Prepared by:
Moomoo Singapore
Isaac Lim CMT, CFTe
Chief Market Strategist
This report is provided for informational and general circulation purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation for the purchase or sale of securities, futures, or other investment products. It does not take into consideration any particular needs of any person. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
For full disclaimers, please visit https://www.moomoo.com/sg/support/topic5_935.
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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