NVDA
NVIDIA
-- 142.620 TSLA
Tesla
-- 406.580 PLTR
Palantir
-- 78.980 AAPL
Apple
-- 222.780 MSTR
MicroStrategy
-- 353.670 
TSLA + DJT Report by Your-Asian-Quant
Hi. This is a 2 in 1 Value pack Buy Side report. with a little tint of surprise.
1. Macro Analysis
Political and Economic Landscape ( $Tesla (TSLA.US)$& $Trump Media & Technology (DJT.US)$)
Political Influence:
Donald J. Trump remains a pivotal figure in shaping conservative political strategies. His rhetoric on deregulation, energy independence, and "America First" policies could directly impact industries such as energy, transportation, and manufacturing.
Donald J. Trump remains a pivotal figure in shaping conservative political strategies. His rhetoric on deregulation, energy independence, and "America First" policies could directly impact industries such as energy, transportation, and manufacturing.
Economic Policy Outlook:
Potential Trump-aligned fiscal policies, tax cuts, infrastructure spending, and energy dominance initiatives, could accelerate economic activity in traditional and emerging industries but may amplify political polarization.
Potential Trump-aligned fiscal policies, tax cuts, infrastructure spending, and energy dominance initiatives, could accelerate economic activity in traditional and emerging industries but may amplify political polarization.
b. Market Dynamics ( $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ ):
EV Market Growth:
Global trends toward decarbonization, incentivized by governments worldwide, support Tesla's growth trajectory. However, rising interest rates and economic uncertainty may dampen consumer demand for EVs, especially in price-sensitive markets.
Global trends toward decarbonization, incentivized by governments worldwide, support Tesla's growth trajectory. However, rising interest rates and economic uncertainty may dampen consumer demand for EVs, especially in price-sensitive markets.
Global Competition:
Tesla faces increasing pressure from competitors like BYD, Rivian, and legacy automakers pivoting to EVs. The industry's rapid evolution highlights the need for Tesla to innovate continuously.
Tesla faces increasing pressure from competitors like BYD, Rivian, and legacy automakers pivoting to EVs. The industry's rapid evolution highlights the need for Tesla to innovate continuously.
2. Key Catalysts
a. Donald J. Trump (DJT):
Media Expansion:
Truth Social and Trump's influence on conservative media provide a platform for shaping public opinion and amplifying policy positions. If monetized effectively, this could strengthen his business ventures.
Truth Social and Trump's influence on conservative media provide a platform for shaping public opinion and amplifying policy positions. If monetized effectively, this could strengthen his business ventures.
Legal and Political Momentum:
Ongoing legal cases could either consolidate Trump's base or hinder his broader influence. A resolution could unlock greater focus on business and media expansion.
Ongoing legal cases could either consolidate Trump's base or hinder his broader influence. A resolution could unlock greater focus on business and media expansion.
Policy Catalysts:
A Trump-aligned administration could reinstate energy independence initiatives, reduce corporate taxes, and pursue deregulation. These policies might benefit manufacturing, logistics, and traditional energy sectors.
A Trump-aligned administration could reinstate energy independence initiatives, reduce corporate taxes, and pursue deregulation. These policies might benefit manufacturing, logistics, and traditional energy sectors.
Tesla (TSLA):
Autonomous Driving Leadership:
Tesla's advancements in Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology remain a key valuation driver. A successful rollout could redefine transportation economics and boost profitability.
Tesla's advancements in Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology remain a key valuation driver. A successful rollout could redefine transportation economics and boost profitability.
Energy Business Growth:
Tesla's solar and battery storage solutions, particularly Powerwall and Megapack, are poised for growth as demand for renewable energy solutions accelerates globally.
Tesla's solar and battery storage solutions, particularly Powerwall and Megapack, are poised for growth as demand for renewable energy solutions accelerates globally.
Gigafactory Expansions:
New factories in strategic locations (e.g., Mexico, Southeast Asia) enhance Tesla's capacity to scale production, meet demand, and diversify revenue streams.
New factories in strategic locations (e.g., Mexico, Southeast Asia) enhance Tesla's capacity to scale production, meet demand, and diversify revenue streams.
3. Synergy Analysis (Blah Blah Blah Boring Stuff)
Energy Policy and EV Alignment:
While Trump's focus on traditional energy may conflict with the EV transition narrative, his potential support for U.S.-based manufacturing could align with Tesla's domestic production ambitions.
While Trump's focus on traditional energy may conflict with the EV transition narrative, his potential support for U.S.-based manufacturing could align with Tesla's domestic production ambitions.
Media Leverage:
Trump's media influence could indirectly amplify public narratives favoring domestic innovation, with Tesla positioned as a symbol of U.S. technological leadership.
Trump's media influence could indirectly amplify public narratives favoring domestic innovation, with Tesla positioned as a symbol of U.S. technological leadership.
Regulatory Shifts:
A Trump-aligned government might reduce regulatory hurdles for manufacturers, benefiting Tesla's production efficiency, though a deprioritization of environmental policies could hinder long-term EV incentives.
A Trump-aligned government might reduce regulatory hurdles for manufacturers, benefiting Tesla's production efficiency, though a deprioritization of environmental policies could hinder long-term EV incentives.
4. Risks and Challenges
a. Donald J. Trump (DJT):
Political Polarization:
Trump's divisive nature may create risks for businesses closely associated with his policies or persona.
Trump's divisive nature may create risks for businesses closely associated with his policies or persona.
Legal and Market Risks:
Prolonged legal battles and uncertainties surrounding his ventures, such as Truth Social, could hinder broader adoption or monetization.
Prolonged legal battles and uncertainties surrounding his ventures, such as Truth Social, could hinder broader adoption or monetization.
b. Tesla (TSLA):
Competitive Pressure:
Tesla's leadership is under threat as competitors aggressively expand in the EV space. Legacy automakers and newcomers alike are targeting Tesla’s market share.
Tesla's leadership is under threat as competitors aggressively expand in the EV space. Legacy automakers and newcomers alike are targeting Tesla’s market share.
Economic Constraints:
Rising interest rates and potential consumer spending slowdowns may challenge Tesla's ability to sustain its premium pricing strategy.
Rising interest rates and potential consumer spending slowdowns may challenge Tesla's ability to sustain its premium pricing strategy.
Supply Chain Volatility:
Reliance on lithium and other critical materials exposes Tesla to price and supply disruptions.
Reliance on lithium and other critical materials exposes Tesla to price and supply disruptions.
5. Conclusion and Strategic Outlook
Donald J. Trump (DJT):
Trump's ongoing political and media influence presents both opportunities and risks. Businesses aligned with his "America First" narrative, such as energy, manufacturing, and logistics, stand to benefit under favorable policy shifts, but they must navigate heightened polarization.
Trump's ongoing political and media influence presents both opportunities and risks. Businesses aligned with his "America First" narrative, such as energy, manufacturing, and logistics, stand to benefit under favorable policy shifts, but they must navigate heightened polarization.
Tesla (TSLA):
Tesla's innovative edge remains robust, with advancements in autonomous driving and energy solutions driving long-term growth. However, the company must counter growing competition, navigate macroeconomic challenges, and strengthen its supply chain to maintain market leadership.
Tesla's innovative edge remains robust, with advancements in autonomous driving and energy solutions driving long-term growth. However, the company must counter growing competition, navigate macroeconomic challenges, and strengthen its supply chain to maintain market leadership.
Nvidia (NVDA): $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
Decided to put NVDA in considering how many chips Elon ordered from NVDA and also it is hard not to talk about these 2 when you talk about AI, FSD, ecosystem and just their sheer volume of transactions.
Personal take: Ai is here and here to stay, it might see some volatility in the short term but great upside potential in the long term.
Anyone with an entry level of economics and commercial awareness could have done that analysis. But hope the next chapter would intrigue you for a follow and a like.
There are two ways that I (personally) explain the mysterious powers of the orientals. 神秘的东方力量
1. It would require years of mathematical training since an early age of 2 (walked down that path before, aint great), following by calculus, Iceberg/Ninja models, game theory and a huge amount of inuition. ![]()
Or
2. Try the following at your own risk (Blah Blah Blah Boring Stuff)
Part with the money first in order to receive. (散了才会聚)
Black and White is the journey （阴阳乃道，请修正道）
"Purple" gotta come from somewhere （紫气东来）
Money isnt yours（钱乃身外之物，回馈社会）![]()
Chinese New Year is coming~
Wishing everyone 百事可乐 万事吉祥 天道酬勤 鹏程万里 八仙桌的收尾 少不了空心菜 心不唤物 物不至 心诚则灵 请两袖清风![]()
Stay safe out there, hydration and posture check!!![]()
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
Read more
Comment
Sign in to post a comment
Your Asian Quant 🤓 三十而立，今年刚好三十。
Tables turn, Options burn, we live and learn.
Personal Global Macro Fund
228
Followers
16
Following
761
Visitors
Follow
Discussing
Trump 2.0 Era: What's the next opportunity in the markets?
▪️Could Trump's crypto policies potentially benefit the crypto market? ▪️Might his tariff policies have a positive effect on Chinese stocks
Michael McCarthy CCO
Jan 3 11:57
Ask a strategist - Trump's first day
Keiith : Great insights, but how reliable is the assumption of deregulation under Trump’s influence for manufacturers like Tesla?
whqqq : Do you think Tesla's energy business will be the key to diversifying its revenue streams in 2025?
Avalanche雪崩哥 OP Keiith : TLDR: Trump's policies might make manufacturing easier for Tesla, but his focus on traditional energy and environmental concerns could limit the benefits. Tesla is likely to adapt well either way.
Avalanche雪崩哥 OP whqqq : That would seem to be the current trend.
102489653 whqqq : hi can share more about Tesla’s energy ambitions and business here please?
Avalanche雪崩哥 OP 102489653 : i have used their home solar system back in Aussie, it was pretty good. there should be synergy.
Alpha Position Avalanche雪崩哥 OP : Trump is not worried about the environment
Avalanche雪崩哥 OP Alpha Position : Trump does not make up the world. He has his self interest, so do the world.