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September new jobs higher than expected, is this a 'soft landing' ?
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U.S. Stocks Rally as Strong Jobs Report Boosts Optimism

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The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, surpassing expectations and boosting market confidence
The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, surpassing expectations and boosting market confidence
U.S. stocks surged on Friday following the release of a strong jobs report that showed the addition of 254,000 jobs in September, surpassing economists’ expectations. This positive economic indicator pushed $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ to a record high, gaining 341.16 points (0.81%) to close at 42,352.75. $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ rose 0.9%, reaching 5,751.07, and $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ gained 1.2%, closing at 18,137.85.
Leading the rally were companies tied to a stronger economy, including $Norwegian Cruise (NCLH.US)$, which climbed 4.9%, and $JPMorgan (JPM.US)$, which added 3.5%. This strong performance helped recover losses from earlier in the week, which were caused by rising oil prices due to tensions in the Middle East. $Crude Oil Futures(JAN5) (CLmain.US)$ ended the week with gains of 9.1% for $Brent Last Day Financial Futures(JAN5) (BZmain.US)$, which settled at $78.05 per barrel.

The labor market’s resilience, combined with the recent Federal Reserve rate cuts, raised optimism for continued economic growth, even as concerns about inflation persist. Treasury yields spiked in response to the jobs report, with $U.S. 2-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US2Y.BD)$ jumping to 3.93% from 3.71%, while $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$ climbed to 3.97% from 3.85%. This rise in yields hurt sectors dependent on lower interest rates, with homebuilders like $D.R. Horton (DHI.US)$ and $PulteGroup (PHM.US)$ losing more than 2.5%.
Treasury yields spiked, with the 10-year yield reaching 3.98%, reflecting inflation concerns
Treasury yields spiked, with the 10-year yield reaching 3.98%, reflecting inflation concerns
Treasury Yields Rise as Inflation Concerns Remain

The stronger-than-expected jobs report has reduced expectations for additional aggressive rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, with traders now predicting smaller rate adjustments. Following the report, the likelihood of a 50-basis-point cut at the next FOMC meeting dropped to zero. However, policymakers are still cautious about inflation, as a strong labor market combined with rising wages may complicate efforts to reduce inflation quickly.

Global Markets and Oil Prices Influence Sentiment

Global markets reacted positively to the U.S. jobs report, with $Euro (EURindex.FX)$ rising and Hong Kong’s $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ jumping 2.8%. The upward movement in $Crude Oil Futures(JAN5) (CLmain.US)$, driven by geopolitical concerns, remained a key factor in global markets. $Brent Last Day Financial Futures(JAN5) (BZmain.US)$ increased by 0.6% to close at $78.05, while $Crude Oil Futures(JAN5) (CLmain.US)$ gained 0.9%, ending the week at $74.38.

In summary, Friday’s market performance was bolstered by strong employment data, but concerns about inflation and oil price volatility continue to affect investor sentiment moving forward.
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