US exchange rate 17-year cycle (super important)
There is data where the bull market and bear market alternate in a 17-year cycle in a major trend with the United States, and the table below is the monthly return of the SP500 for the presidential election year![]()
The 17-year cycle transitioned to a bull market cycle in 2016, if you calculate backwards1998-2015 bear market cycle、1980 to 1997 was a bull market cycleIt becomes before that1962-1979 was a bear market cycle
Please take a look at the table above based on that![]()
from above1972, 1976 bear market cycle
1980, 1984, 1988, 1992, 1996 bull market cycle
2000, 2004, 2008, 2012 bear market cycle
2016, 2020, and 2024 (this year) are bull market cyclesIt becomes![]()
There were major declines in September and October in 2000 and 2008, respectively, during the bear market cycle, but other presidential election years did not experience a frightening fall from September to October![]()
2020 is a bull market cycle, but September and October are weak, and I think this is also related to the fact that ViX was a bear market cycle![]()
Currently, it is a very strong year where the US bullish 17-year cycle and the VIx bull market cycle overlap in the overall picture![]()
I am predicting a market with high returns even after September, such as the presidential election year from 1980 to 1996, and this is one of the reasons why I am bullish even after September, so I made a comment hoping it will be helpful![]()
I think the 1996 market price is the closest in terms of price movements![]()
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SOXL、TSLL、マイニング株で中長期でまずは資産1億目指しているものです┏○ﾍﾟｺｯ
鋼のメンタルは客観的データに基づくもの
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ジョモりん OP : Therefore, based on the 17-year cycle, the bull market cycle will continue from 2032 to around 2033, and I will definitely build assets of at least 0.1 billion, which is my target, by 2030![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")