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🚨US Market Black Friday Sales? 🔥

Weekly Market Recap: What happened and things to look out for!
Market Performance Overview
Last Thursday, the stock market had a big rally, with the $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ jumping over 570 points. This was mostly thanks to $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ strong earnings for Q3 2025, which showed impressive growth in both revenue and profit; as well as strong bull run from $Tesla (TSLA.US)$. Additionally, sectors tied to broader economic recovery—like industrials and materials—saw strong gains. Meanwhile, the US Dollar weakened as the Federal Reserve hinted that inflation might be cooling and interest rate cuts could be on the horizon.

Bitcoin Surges Toward $100k
In the cryptocurrency world, $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ continued its upward trend, hitting the $99,000 mark. Many investors believe the coin is on the verge of hitting the $100,000 milestone, fueled by optimism surrounding a potential Trump administration $Trump Media & Technology (DJT.US)$ and growing confidence in the digital asset space $Coinbase (COIN.US)$

Google Faces Legal Challenges
On the regulatory front, the U.S. Department of Justice announced a major move to break up $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ by selling its Chrome browser to reduce its dominance in the tech space. This is part of a broader crackdown on big tech companies $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ that are seen as monopolistic.

Mixed Signals in the Job Market
The U.S. labor market showed mixed signals last week. On the positive side, jobless claims dropped to 213,000, marking a 7-month low. However, there was a troubling sign in the continuing claims, which surged to nearly 1.9 million, a three-year high. This suggests that while new jobless claims are improving, many people are still struggling to find work long-term, raising concerns about the health of the labor market and potential impacts on consumer spending.

Geopolitical Risks
In global news, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues to affect markets. Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced the testing of a new ballistic missile,adding fuel to the ongoing conflict. Investors are keeping a close eye on these developments, as geopolitical risks like this can cause market volatility. To hedge against uncertainty, many investors are flocking to safe-haven assets, like $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ $iShares Silver Trust (SLV.US)$, which is continuing to see high demand.

NVIDIA’s Earnings Boost Tech Stocks
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ had a strong quarter with EPS of $0.81, beating estimates by $0.06. The company reported a 94% year-over-year increase in revenues, driven by strong demand for its graphics processing units (GPUs) used in everything from gaming to AI. This strong performance helped push $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ stock to a new all-time high of $153. However, investors are cautious as concerns remain about supply constraints and whether NVIDIA can sustain this level of growth.
In contrast, the technology sector $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ faced challenges last week, particularly around regulatory concerns. For example, $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ saw its stock drop by more than 5% as the company faces ongoing antitrust scrutiny.

Earnings to Watch Next Week
Looking ahead, earnings reports from major tech firms like $Dell Technologies (DELL.US)$, $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$, $Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE.US)$ .Tech investors should look for signs of strength or weakness in the sector. If earnings beat expectations, especially in the AI and cloud sectors, it could indicate that the tech rally $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ is still going strong.
Analysts expect $Dell Technologies (DELL.US)$ to report $2.05 per share in earnings, a 9% rise from the previous year, and $24.53 billion in revenue. These earnings could give a clearer picture of how the tech sector is performing and whether trends seen in $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ results are reflective of broader industry growth.
🚨US Market Black Friday Sales? 🔥
Macroeconomic Data and Federal Reserve Watch
Next week, all eyes will be on several important economic releases:
1. PCE Price Index: The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, will be released on Wednesday. If the inflation data is higher than expected, it could spark concerns about inflation still being a challenge for the U.S. economy and could undermine hopes for rate cuts in December.

2.GDP Revision: Also on Wednesday, the third-quarter GDP report will be revised. The initial report showed that the economy grew by 2.8% last quarter, so any changes to that figure could impact market sentiment.

3.Federal Reserve Minutes: On Tuesday, the Fed will release the minutes from its November meeting. This could provide investors with clues about whether the Fed is shifting toward a more accommodative monetary policy, especially if inflation continues to show signs of cooling.

4.Housing Data: Housing prices remain stubbornly high, and reports on this sector will give investors a sense of whether the U.S. housing market is cooling down or if price pressures will persist.

What Investors Should Focus On
1.Watch Inflation Data:
The PCE price index and the October inflation data will be critical for investors to track. If inflation is still rising, the Fed may delay any rate cuts. This could lead to market volatility $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$ , particularly in growth stocks. Investors should be ready for potential short-term market fluctuations and keep an eye on interest rate expectations.

2. Consider Safe-Haven Assets:
Given the ongoing geopolitical risks and inflation concerns, $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ $Exxon Mobil (XOM.US)$ $Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)$ and other safe-haven assets may continue to perform well. Investors worried about market volatility may want to diversify into these types of assets to protect against downside risk $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 ETF (SPXU.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$.

🚨 3.Watch for Fed Signals 🚨‼️
The Federal Reserve’s stance on inflation and interest rates is a key factor for market direction. If the minutes from the November meeting signal a more dovish stance (meaning they will cut rates soon), this could send stocks higher. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (TQQQ.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$
Conversely, if inflation data suggests the Fed will stay hawkish (raising rates to fight inflation), this could cause a pullback in the market $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 ETF (SPXU.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$

4. Be Prepared for Volatility:
With the Thanksgiving holiday shortening the trading week, there could be lower trading volumes and higher volatility $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$. Investors should be aware that this time of year can be unpredictable, with market swings based on lighter trading.

Investment Recommendations
Short-Term Investors: Stay alert to inflation and GDP reports. If inflation comes in higher than expected, be ready for market volatility. $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY.US)$ If you’re holding stocks, consider hedging your positions with safer assets like $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ or $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$.
Long-Term Investors: Keep an eye on tech companies, especially those that are heavily involved in AI or cloud computing, like $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$, $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$ and $Dell Technologies (DELL.US)$. These companies are well-positioned for long-term growth, but be mindful of potential regulatory risks.
🔮 $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ & $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ outlook for 25-29 Nov: 🔮
🚨US Market Black Friday Sales? 🔥
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ will test the last high of 6025 as momentum is strong. As seen in pre market, $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ has gapped up and moving strongly towards 6000 region. This week it will range between 5750-6050. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ will cross $600 again. However, any pullback could let it test 5750 region again.
🚨US Market Black Friday Sales? 🔥
$NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ was thrown back lightly due to Geopolitical risk last week but quickly bounced back up after tension was eased and strong movement from $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Palantir (PLTR.US)$
🚨US Market Black Friday Sales? 🔥
Evidently in the chart, $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ has gapped up strongly and moving towards last hight of 21240. 🚨‼️ Be careful, any gapping up at the top will eventually get the gap filled in time to come. This week expected range play for $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ 19700-21300. DYODD! Black Friday sales may occur on friday for US market! $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 ETF (SPXU.US)$
In conclusion:
The market is facing a mix of strong earnings reports, economic uncertainty, and global risks. For investors, the key will be to stay flexible, keep an eye on inflation data, and adjust portfolios accordingly. Whether you’re looking at $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ tech stocks or safe havens like $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ this week’s economic and earnings data will be pivotal in shaping market expectations.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only. Read more
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