The price of crude oil does not incorporate geopolitical risks at all = GS.
● In a recent report, Goldman Sachs analyst Lina Thomas analyzed that the oil market is currently being led by four positive factors. Namely, the world's transition to an easing cycle, impending inventory depletion (expected future supply shortage), still low positions and valuations, and the market not yet considering geopolitical risks. In other words, supported by the above factors, there is still room for upward movement in oil prices.
● In the latest report, Goldman Sachs analyst Lindsay Matcham also stated that if conflicts escalate to the point of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, there is a possibility that oil prices will begin to consider a risk premium. According to Matcham, further escalation of conflicts could have a significant impact on the market, especially if there is a potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which could lead to a sharp increase in oil prices.