Wall Street's 2025 forecast
From Donald Trump's return to the White House to the surge in US assets, and the caution in the bond market, experts in the financial industry are providing insights for the coming year. Bloomberg's 'Big Take' introduces over 700 important forecasts from more than 50 major financial institutions. The key points are as follows.
On Wall Street, Trump's business-friendly policies are strengthening optimistic views towards corporations.
The US economy is gaining new momentum due to Trump's influence, emphasizing the US's advantage while other major markets are affected by tariffs.
While overall containment of inflation is expected, it is predicted to be challenging to decrease towards the target level due to trade barriers and immigration policies.
Many financial institutions warn that replicating the over 20% stock returns from the previous year is not expected, but there are few voices predicting the end of the AI-led stock boom.
Bond yields are robust in terms of interest rates and credit, and Schroders points out that 'income generation for classic reasons of holding bonds has returned'.
On Wall Street, diversification investments into alternative assets such as private markets and hedge funds are being recommended.
かぶかぶ2000 : I will Buy more on the 3rd.
のぶさんちゃん : The US economy is expected to be strong under Trump 20, with the stock and bond markets performing well over the next three years. However, starting from the fourth year, there will be a significant correction phase, leading to confusion in national assets and a shift from stock investment to physical investment.