Wall Street's attention is heating up! Nvidia's earnings reports are imminent, will Blackwell be the catalyst for the stock price? Will it create a new wave following the Trump rally?
After the trading session on November 20th, hsbc holdings, a giant in AI chip, is scheduled to announce its Q3 earnings for the fiscal year 2025. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$Since OpenAI announced ChatGPT in November 2022, Nvidia's stock price has soared. The stock price has surged by more than 800%, overtaking Apple with a market capitalization of over 3.5 trillion dollars, establishing itself as the world's leader and even becoming a member of the Nasdaq Composite Index.800% or more increaseand exceeded a market capitalization of 3.5 trillion dollars, surpassing Apple, establishing itself as the world's leader and becoming part of the Nasdaq Composite Index.the world's leading position and becoming a member of the Nasdaq Composite Index.
As for the performance outlook for the third quarter, in the market, NVIDIA's revenue is expected to increase by 82.27% year-on-year to $33.028 billion, with earnings per share expected to increase by 88.11% year-on-year to $0.7. As a result, the company isachieving record-high revenue and profits for the 6th consecutive quarterことになる。
What are the opinions of Wall Street's major banks?
Wall Street's major banks like Morgan Stanley and UBS,Blackwell's Super CycleFrom an optimistic outlook, this week Nvidia's target stock price was successively raised 。
Analysts from Morgan Stanley, Joseph Moore, raised the target stock price from $150 to $160, Vijay Rakesh from Mizuho Securities raised the target stock price from $140 to $165, UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri increased the target stock price from $150 to $185, Melius Research analyst Ben Reitzes raised the target stock price from $165 to $185, and analyst Harsh Kumar from Piper Sandler increased the target stock price from $165 to $185. Reitzes raised the target stock price from $165 to $185, Harsh Kumar from Piper Sandler raised the target stock price from $140 to $175, and HSBC raised the target stock price from $145 to $200.
Melius Research, a prominent investment institution on Wall Street, Investors should continue to hold Nvidia,as its next-generation Blackwell GPU becomes a watershed momentstated that it may be.。The company believes that Nvidia is approaching the 'iPhone moment' and selling Nvidia now is like selling Apple stock after the release of the first iPhone. $Apple (AAPL.US)$の "iPhone moment" the company believes Nvidia is approaching the "iPhone moment," and selling Nvidia now would be akin to selling Apple shares after the original iPhone release.
Currently, Nvidia's Hopper and upcoming Blackwell GPU chips, such as ChatGPT, AI chatbots, self-driving cars, etc.,the foundation of the advancement of AI that powers everything.It has become so.
Large cloud providers, sovereign nations, and major corporations are likely to invest even more funds in this "once-in-a-lifetime opportunity." In addition to expecting the performance of Blackwell in 2025 and Rubin in 2026, the bank is becoming more optimistic about the outlook that Nvidia's gross profit margin will stabilize and increase by aboutby the mid-term of 2026.75%They are strengthening the optimistic view that it will continue to steadily rise.until
Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar believes that Nvidia's leading position in the AI accelerator field, along with the future introduction of Blackwell Architecture,Nvidia is the top priority investment choice.by 2025, the total market size of AI accelerators is expected to continue expanding, and Nvidia is in a "favorable position"with the potential to achieve the largest market share. Kumar has raised Nvidia's target stock price from $140 to175 dollars.Kumar 医師はraised the target stock price of Nvidia to175 dollars.。
●On the other hand, HSBC analysts are even more optimistic, setting a target stock price for Nvidia.145 dollars to 200 dollarsat once, making it one of the most bullish financial institutions for NVIDIA.Blackwell architecture chips act as a catalyst.
●Morgan Stanley analyst, Joseph Moore, expects Nvidia's third quarter performance to continue to grow strongly. However, he also believes that Nvidia's new products, especially Blackwell, are fullyin supply constraintsaffected.Affects the performance and guidance of the third quarter.Warning of potential impact.
NVIDIA recently disclosed the performance of the Blackwell GPU for AI training workloads for the first time. In training large models, it was revealed to be 2.2 times faster than the previous generation Hopper chip. This has led many analysts to have high expectations for the future potential of this chip.
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アナリストは概して、AIアプリケーションの発展はまだ初期段階にあり、Blackwellサイクルはエヌビディアの業績をさらに押し上げると考えている。モルガン・スタンレーは、Blackwellの新製品ラインが1月の四半期における会社の収益を押し上げ、売上高は5 billionドルから6 billionドルになると予想している。モルガン・スタンレーはまた、エヌビディアの粗利益率は第3四半期に改善するare predicted.
It is expected that the initial production capacity increase from Blackwell in January will result in a lower profit margin. However, Nvidia previously anticipated a decrease in gross profit margin from 75.7% in the second quarter to 75.0% in the third quarter, which was too conservative an estimate.
Costs related to the initial introduction of Blackwell are temporary, and it is expected that headwinds in the third quarter will be minimal. Nevertheless, the increase in production of Blackwell and related products is causing instability in revenue and uncertainty in profit margins, leading the company to continue to be cautious of further pressure on gross profit margins.
In addition, $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$、 $Amazon (AMZN.US)$、 $Meta Platforms (META.US)$Major high-tech companies such as etc are making "very solid" capital investment plans, and Melius, a prominent investment institution on Wall Street, expects capital expenditures for these companies' data centers to increase by 24% by 2025.24% increaseandExpected to reach a total of 282 billion dollars.and is forecastingFactors supporting Blackwell's salesIt has become so.
Source: moomoo, Bloomberg
This article utilizes auto-translation in some parts.
moomoo news of individual stocks Sherry
This article utilizes auto-translation in some parts.
moomoo news of individual stocks Sherry
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
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184295026 : Blackwell, on one hand, still has structural technical issues (chip heating issues) as seen in the latest MoMo article. Additionally, with the same chip,
- An AI for generating XX answers questions (simple text output)
- How many times, and how many questions can it answer in the same amount of time as the traditional chip?
Have such specification comparisons been announced with numbers? I might have missed it.
In other words, isn't it an exaggeration to say in the article, "Sell Apple stocks before the debut of the first-generation iPhone"?
The fundamental principle of investment is to understand what the investment target is, what kind of performance it has (quantified), calculate the expected profits from it, and only then proceed with the investment.
Without doing this and investing based solely on the momentum of the overwhelming opinions and atmosphere saying, "This is good!!!" around you, will result in a "loss." Similar to the unexpected turn in the previous NV financial results at the end of August.
I don't understand the specific numerical performance of Blackwell (where one chip can handle processing that would require more than XX existing chips, and it completes the task faster than XX seconds compared to processing with XX existing chips), but in recent economic articles related to NV, it can be inferred that the performance of the same chip is higher than the company's existing products. So, it's not a complete denial of investing in NV.
Out of the completely surplus funds that are not needed immediately, allocating around 10% for purchasing stocks of the company in anticipation of its growth might be a good idea.
However, if you unreasonably expect from NV, become greedy, and pour most of your own assets into it, it will lead to the following:
With the announcement of the US CPI in July and the simultaneous foreign exchange intervention, (following the intervention, the market showed a downward trend, and then came the shock of the BOJ meeting and rate hike at the end of July, followed by the unexpected drop in US employment statistics at the beginning of August leading to a world crisis exceeding the previous boom and hype), as many Twitter stock enthusiasts were saying during the intense and heated market before that, "Invest 90% of savings in stocks, investment funds, and other investments. Those who do not do so, why do they cherish their assets as cash for the future? I don't understand." and ridiculing those who do not invest, they later became "big losers" who disappeared from various SNS platforms including Twitter, due to things like the Nikkei surpassing the previous boom and the major crash in NV financial results at the end of August. In the period from June to early July of this year, during the extreme plunge in the yen exchange rate, there were indeed many investment solicitations being made... I don't know what happened to the people who were singing silly songs like "Let's go, Nvidia~♫" Now, those who are still investing are most likely the "investment enthusiasts" who survived the August crisis. Therefore, I believe they have a good sense of timing and when to pull out. I don't think they would engage in the foolish act of allocating more than half of their own funds to a single stock (even if it is a direct purchase, concentrating on one area may lead to significant losses in the event of a downturn, effectively applying negative leverage). For something whose future prospects are speculated, but the profit outlook from its actual performance and capabilities is uncertain, a "moderate" level of greed-free investment seems appropriate based on the lessons learned from past losses.