The Weekly | Traders back momentum | Newmont & Fortescue ahead | Traders rotate from semi ETFs to TSMC & Nvidia
In this bull market sugar rush, it seems all pullbacks are being bought. Creating opportunity. Here is the Weekly. VIDEO or read on for written commentary.
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What’s happening in global markets? Global markets hit new record highs this week with investors binging on a sugar rush goodie bag– buying stocks with strong momentum. Before we get to what they’re buying, here are the three factors supporting the bull market and why investors are buying the dip into quality stocks before the market shoots back up again.
1. Central banks are continuing to cut interest rates (the ECB cut rates for the 3rd time). And US Fed speakers say the US central bank can keep cutting rates.
1. Central banks are continuing to cut interest rates (the ECB cut rates for the 3rd time). And US Fed speakers say the US central bank can keep cutting rates.
2. Stronger-than-expected economic news continues to be released – we saw this in US retail sales and jobs data. So, as the US economy may need less help, US rate cuts may not be as large ahead, which is a good thing. Well, the market seems to think so too.
3. Also supporting stocks, US company quarterly earnings results released so far have been higher than expected. US earnings are up 6.4%.
But here is something to take away for ASX traders
Australia’s market fell on Friday, but it’s still up about 9% on the year. On Friday, investors were spooked that the price of iron ore fell to a four-week low because Rio Tinto $Rio Tinto (RIO.US)$ and Vale $Vale SA (VALE.US)$ are ramping up production. Before buying of the key steel making ingredient ramps up from China stimulus perhaps materializing. BHP $BHP Group Ltd (BHP.US)$ shares fell 2.2%, its biggest drop in a week. BHP is the second biggest company on the ASX and pays one of the highest dividends among blue chip, paying 5.1% (consensus).
Next week, what to watch?
Keep an eye on iron ore major Fortescue $Fortescue Ltd (FMG.AU)$ , who reports next week and makes most of its revenue from iron ore and China.
Staying in mining, gold cracked a new record high – it’s now the best-performing asset, up 30% this year. Gold producers report next week, and with gold’s runway poised for higher levels. So you’ll want to watch stocks like Newmont $Newmont (NEM.US)$ and Northern Star $Northern Star Resources Ltd (NST.AU)$ reporting results next week. I think their outlooks will be bullish.
Staying in mining, gold cracked a new record high – it’s now the best-performing asset, up 30% this year. Gold producers report next week, and with gold’s runway poised for higher levels. So you’ll want to watch stocks like Newmont $Newmont (NEM.US)$ and Northern Star $Northern Star Resources Ltd (NST.AU)$ reporting results next week. I think their outlooks will be bullish.
But if you don’t know what to buy –why don’t you use ETFs, and perhaps consider buying an S&P 500 ETF.
Given that we’re in a bull market, pullbacks don’t last long. Especially in the US, as earnings are growing quicker than expected and far greater than Australia’s company earnings.
And for stock pickers out there, you don’t have to look too far for inspiration
When the US market pulls back, fund managers go on a quality spending spree, buying almost everything and anything in the market with strong momentum. These are some of the stocks in the S&P 500 that are up the most year-to-date, and are being bought on down days, knowing that in bull markets, quality stocks can typically recover over a couple of days or maybe a week.
Take Nvidia, for example; on Tuesday, its shares fell 4.7%, falling to $131.60, but investors bought the dip, and its shares rose 4.2% over the next two days, getting back to $140 at one point.
Vistra $Vistra Energy (VST.US)$ is another one to watch. Its shares are up 257%, outpacing Nvidia $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ . But this week, its shares have fallen, so keep it on your radar.
What are moomoo traders buying and selling and why.
Here’s a look at the top 10 buys and sells, and what’s triggered clients' activity. SEE VIDEO
Nvidia is once again the most traded stock. FOMO is rife, and Nvidia shares appear to be breaking out and the weekly MACD suggests it could head higher. Nvidia is a key client of TSMC, so if TSMC results were something to go by, Nvidia shareholders are excited, especially as Nvidia's CEO alluded to its results being "INSANE".
What’s really interesting – going back to chips. Yes, ASML $ASML Holding (ASML.US)$ disappointed, reporting half the orders expected. But given Taiwan’s biggest company, Taiwan Semiconductor, reported far stronger profits than expected, investors are starting to move out of semiconductor ETFs and instead are being more cautious and selective with chip buying – that’s perhaps why TSMC $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ and Nvidia $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ buys are increasing.
Tesla $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ shares were sold with investors taking profits after it gained 57% from its April low, while some were worried the Cybertruck lacked detail and no concrete information came about Tesla’s new cheaper model.
Meanwhile, the levered China ETF, YINN $Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares ETF (YINN.US)$ continued to see buying amid China’s roaring stimulus.
Trump trades started to dominate the leaderboard, with DJT $Trump Media & Technology (DJT.US)$ seeing a lot of buys as markets, polls, and betting companies begin to price in a potential Trump win.
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
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Moon fairy 大炮仙 ❤ :
Simon 5183 : Bull market? Don't mislead the retail investors. Many large companies are cutting jobs due to losses, 70% of stocks in the stock market have negative returns. This is why the stock god Buffett is selling stocks and embracing cash to prepare for buying at the bottom!
104132545 Simon 5183 :