What happens at PCE?
If PCE were to confirm the US interest rate hike in September, what would happen to the dollar and yen? in the direction of appreciation of the yen?
Considering the linkage between the recent depreciation of Japanese and US stocks and the appreciation of the yen, if there is a slight risk appetite, I don't think it's strange that the yen depreciates.
Also, I wonder what the probability is that we will see the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike. If government bond purchases and reductions are on an appropriate scale, is there bravery to push up the entire yield curve in combination with interest rate hikes? Even though the election is potentially ahead, are they taking the risk of the economy falling back?
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